St. Johnstone - Ayr United: our prediction
17/02/2026•20:45
St. Johnstone
3:3
(1:2)
Finished AP
4 tab 5
Ayr United
-
1
-
X
-
2
St. Johnstone vs Ayr United Preview — Challenge Cup Final Stage
St. Johnstone, home favourite (odds 1.73), faces Ayr United in the Challenge Cup. In their last 10 matches, St. Johnstone have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats, with a solid defence (6 clean sheets). Ayr United, struggling away (1 win in 10 matches), show an inconsistent attack. Statistics suggest a low-scoring game with home advantage.
Our St. Johnstone vs Ayr United predictions
St. Johnstone to score at least one goal
St. Johnstone have scored in 7 of their last 10 matches (70%). At home, their attack is more effective. Against an Ayr United defence that has conceded in 8 of their last 10 matches, the hosts are likely to score.
1.12
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 goals
St. Johnstone have recorded under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 matches (70%). Ayr United have done so in 4/10 (40%). St. Johnstone's solid defence and Ayr United's attacking difficulties away reduce the likelihood of a high-scoring game.
2
Confidence
High
St. Johnstone to win
St. Johnstone are home favourites with odds of 1.73. In their last 10 matches, they have won 5 times (50%). Their defence is solid (6 clean sheets). Ayr United struggle away (1 win in 10). Form and home advantage support this bet.
1.56
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on St. Johnstone vs Ayr United
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
St. Johnstone vs Ayr United Statistics
Win
Win | 6 3 1 | 4 3 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 90% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 75% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 25% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 60% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 0% | 25% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 25% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 70% 30% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 20% 80% | 80% 20% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 50% |
2nd half | 40% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Reece McAlear | 44% (4/9) | 25% (2/8) | Anton Dowds |
| Ruari Paton | 30% (3/10) | 33% (2/6) | Jamie Murphy |
| Jamie Gullan | 22% (2/9) | 11% (1/9) | Ben Dempsey |
| Joshua McPake | 20% (2/10) | 13% (1/8) | Leon King |
| Liam Smith | 20% (2/10) | ||
| Kai Fotheringham | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Josh Fowler | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Morgan Boyes | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Cheick Diabate | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Jack Baird | 13% (1/8) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ruari Paton | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Anton Dowds |
| Reece McAlear | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Jamie Murphy |
| Jamie Gullan | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Ben Dempsey |
| Liam Smith | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Leon King |
| Joshua McPake | ⚽⚽2 | ||
| Cheick Diabate | ⚽1 | ||
| Kai Fotheringham | ⚽1 | ||
| Jack Baird | ⚽1 | ||
| Josh Fowler | ⚽1 | ||
| Morgan Boyes | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 50% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 25% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 25% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 25% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 25% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 40% | 30% |
1.5 | 40% | 30% |
2.5 | 30% | 20% |
3.5 | 10% | 10% |
4.5 | 10% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
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