BFC Daugavpils - Ogre United: our prediction
21/05/2026•17:00
BFC Daugavpils
3:1
(2:0)
Finished

Ogre United
-
1
-
X
-
2
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United Preview — Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils, favorite with odds of 1.58, faces Ogre United, the bottom team of the Virsliga. Daugavpils has a 40% win rate in their last 10 matches, while Ogre United has not won any of their last 10 away matches. Statistics show a high probability of both teams scoring (BTS at 60% for Daugavpils and 80% for Ogre).
Our BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United predictions
BFC Daugavpils to win
BFC Daugavpils is the logical favorite. Playing at home, they have a win odds of 1.58. Ogre United has not won any of their last 10 away matches and has lost 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions. Daugavpils has a 40% win rate in their last 10 matches, which, combined with Ogre's weakness, makes this bet very solid.
1.37
Confidence
High (65%)
Both teams to score
Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede goals. Daugavpils has seen both teams score in 60% of their last 10 matches. For Ogre United, this figure rises to 80%. Ogre United has kept a clean sheet in none of their last 10 matches, and Daugavpils only 2 times. The probability of both scoring is therefore very high.
1.73
Confidence
High (65%)
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Although Daugavpils tends to play matches with under 2.5 goals (60% of their last 10 matches), Ogre United has a strong opposite trend, with 70% of their matches exceeding this threshold. Combined with Ogre's defensive weakness and Daugavpils' ability to score, the scenario of a match with over 2.5 goals is plausible, but not guaranteed. The odds of 4.7 reflect this uncertainty well.
1.51
Confidence
Medium (50%)
Market signals on BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United Statistics
Win
Win | 4 2 4 | 2 8 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 80% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 25% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 40% | 0% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 40% | 20% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 40% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 40% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 100% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 80% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 10% 90% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 40% |
2nd half | 70% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Yakubu | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Kirsters Cudars |
| Rostand Ndjiki | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Johnson Kabagambe |
| Artem Garzha | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Marks Pacepko |
| William Mukwelle | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Emils Evelons |
| Mamadou Sylla | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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