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Toluca - San Diego FC: our prediction

19/03/2026•04:00

Toluca

4:0

(1:0)

Finished

San Diego FC

Toluca vs San Diego FC Preview — CONCACAF Champions Cup

Toluca, the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.29, hosts San Diego FC in the CONCACAF Champions Cup. In their last 10 matches, Toluca has won 5 times, drawn 4 times, and lost once, giving them a 50% success rate at home. San Diego FC, away from home, has won one of their last 10 away matches. Historical statistics suggest a potentially tight match despite Toluca's favorite status.

Our Toluca vs San Diego FC predictions

Under 2.5 Goals

Analysis of the last 10 matches shows Toluca has seen under 2.5 goals in 6 of its 10 matches (60%). San Diego FC also recorded under 2.5 goals in 4 of its last 10 matches (40%). The 'Both Teams to Score' (BTS) statistics are 50% for Toluca and 40% for San Diego FC, indicating both teams rarely score in the same match. Toluca's home defense (5 clean sheets/10) and San Diego FC's limited attack away support a match with a reduced number of goals. The most likely scenario is a narrow Toluca win, e.g., 1-0 or 2-0.

3.1

Confidence

High

Toluca Win

Toluca is clearly the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.29). In their last 10 matches, they have a win rate of 50% (5 wins) and do not lose when favored (indicator 'nepredpasfav': 8/9). At home, their attack is solid (8/10 matches with +0.5 goals scored). San Diego FC, away, has a poor recent offensive performance (only 1 win in 10 away matches). No information on major absences was found for either team. Toluca's defense (5 clean sheets in 10) against a low-scoring visiting attack (5 clean sheets against them in 10) supports a home win scenario.

1.28

Confidence

High

Market signals on Toluca vs San Diego FC

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Toluca vs San Diego FC Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Toluca	San Diego FC
Win	5 4 1	7 1 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	89%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	33%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	33%	100%
Win by being a favorite	56%	100%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	25%
Win by being an outsider	0%	25%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	50% 50%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	40% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	70% 30%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	50% 50%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	20%
2nd half	50%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Paulinho	50% (3/6)	50% (5/10)	Marcus Ingvartsen
Nicolas Castro	30% (3/10)	30% (3/10)	Anders Dreyer
Everardo Lopez	22% (2/9)	20% (2/10)	David Vazquez
Jesus Angulo	10% (1/10)	14% (1/7)	Amahl Pellegrino
Antonio Briseno	11% (1/9)	14% (1/7)	Luca Bombino
Francisco Cordova	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Pedro Soma
Helinho	17% (1/6)	10% (1/10)	Bryan Zamble
Jesus Gallardo	20% (1/5)
Fernando Arce	10% (1/10)
Franco Rossi	10% (1/10)
Jorge Diaz	13% (1/8)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Paulinho	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7	Marcus Ingvartsen
Nicolas Castro	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	David Vazquez
Everardo Lopez	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Anders Dreyer
Jesus Gallardo	⚽1	⚽1	Luca Bombino
Jorge Diaz	⚽1	⚽1	Amahl Pellegrino
Jesus Angulo	⚽1	⚽1	Pedro Soma
Helinho	⚽1	⚽1	Bryan Zamble
Antonio Briseno	⚽1
Fernando Arce	⚽1
Franco Rossi	⚽1
Francisco Cordova	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	70%	60%
Over corners 7.5	60%	50%
Over corners 8.5	50%	30%
Over corners 9.5	50%	20%
Over corners 10.5	30%	10%
Over corners 11.5	30%	10%
Over corners 12.5	10%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	60%
Over corners 3.5	70%	60%
Over corners 4.5	60%	50%
Over corners 5.5	60%	30%
Over corners 6.5	40%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	60%
1.5	70%	50%
2.5	50%	10%
3.5	30%	10%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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