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Toluca - LA Galaxy: our prediction

09/04/2026•05:00

Toluca

4:2

(2:0)

Finished

LA Galaxy

Toluca vs LA Galaxy Preview — CONCACAF Champions Cup

Toluca hosts LA Galaxy in the CONCACAF Champions Cup. Toluca, the favorite with odds of 1.32, shows solid form (6 wins in the last 10 matches). LA Galaxy, struggling away from home, finds it hard to win on the road. Recent statistics suggest a match with goals.

Our Toluca vs LA Galaxy predictions

Toluca Win

Toluca is clearly the favorite at home with a low odds of 1.32. In the last 10 matches, they have won 6 times (60% success rate) and lost only twice. Their attack is effective (9 out of 10 matches with at least one goal scored). LA Galaxy, on the other hand, has won only 3 out of 10 matches and shows weaknesses away from home. Home advantage and recent form favor Toluca.

1.18

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 Goals

The offensive statistics of both teams support this bet. Toluca has seen over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 10 matches (50%), and LA Galaxy in 6 matches (60%). Additionally, 'Both Teams to Score' has a high rate for LA Galaxy (60%). With active attacks (Toluca: Paulinho 6 goals; LA Galaxy: Joao Klauss 6 goals, Gabriel Pec 5 goals) and defenses that concede regularly, a scoreline like 2-1 or 3-1 is plausible.

1.4

Confidence

Medium

Both Teams to Score

Toluca has seen both teams score in 5 of their last 10 matches (50%). LA Galaxy has a higher rate of 60% (6/10). Toluca's defense kept only 4 clean sheets in 10, while LA Galaxy's kept 4 as well. With attacks capable of scoring (Toluca: 9/10 with Over 0.5 goals per team; LA Galaxy: 9/10), it is likely that each team finds the net, even if Toluca should win.

1.88

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Toluca vs LA Galaxy

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Toluca vs LA Galaxy Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Toluca	LA Galaxy
Win	6 2 2	3 4 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	80%	78%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	33%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	33%	25%
Win by being a favorite	60%	33%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	60% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	60% 40%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	20%
2nd half	70%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Paulinho	50% (3/6)	40% (4/10)	Gabriel Pec
Nicolas Castro	30% (3/10)	33% (3/9)	Joseph Paintsil
Everardo Lopez	22% (2/9)	17% (1/6)	Erik Thommy
Jesus Angulo	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Lucas Sanabria
Jesus Gallardo	20% (1/5)	10% (1/10)	Marco Reus
Francisco Cordova	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Maya Yoshida
Franco Rossi	10% (1/10)	33% (1/3)	Matheus Nascimento
Antonio Briseno	11% (1/9)
Fernando Arce	10% (1/10)
Helinho	17% (1/6)
Jorge Diaz	13% (1/8)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Paulinho	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Gabriel Pec
Nicolas Castro	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Joseph Paintsil
Everardo Lopez	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Marco Reus
Antonio Briseno	⚽1	⚽1	Maya Yoshida
Fernando Arce	⚽1	⚽1	Matheus Nascimento
Franco Rossi	⚽1	⚽1	Lucas Sanabria
Francisco Cordova	⚽1	⚽1	Erik Thommy
Jesus Gallardo	⚽1
Jorge Diaz	⚽1
Jesus Angulo	⚽1
Helinho	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	90%
Over corners 7.5	80%	80%
Over corners 8.5	70%	80%
Over corners 9.5	70%	60%
Over corners 10.5	30%	60%
Over corners 11.5	30%	50%
Over corners 12.5	10%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	60%	50%
Over corners 3.5	60%	50%
Over corners 4.5	50%	40%
Over corners 5.5	50%	30%
Over corners 6.5	40%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	80%
1.5	70%	50%
2.5	50%	10%
3.5	20%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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