LA Galaxy - Toluca: our prediction
16/04/2026•03:00
LA Galaxy
0:3
(0:1)
Finished
Toluca
-
1
-
X
-
2
LA Galaxy vs Toluca Preview — CONCACAF Champions Cup
LA Galaxy hosts Toluca in the CONCACAF Champions Cup. Toluca is slightly favored by bookmakers (odds 2.30) despite playing away. Recent statistics show two offensive teams with a strong goal-scoring tendency, but sometimes leaky defenses. No information on major absences was found.
Our LA Galaxy vs Toluca predictions
Over 2.5 goals in the match
LA Galaxy has seen 8 of its last 10 matches exceed 2.5 goals (80%). Toluca has a less marked trend (5/10), but both teams have prolific attacks (Klauss, Pec for Galaxy; Paulinho, Angulo for Toluca) and defenses that regularly concede. The cup match and the offensive style of both teams favor an open game with goals.
1.58
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, both teams have scored in 60% of LA Galaxy's games (6/10) and 70% of Toluca's (7/10). The defenses of both teams rarely keep a clean sheet (only 4 clean sheets for Galaxy, 2 for Toluca in 10 matches). With in-form attackers on both sides, it is likely that each team will find the back of the net.
1.5
Confidence
High
LA Galaxy scores over 1.5 goals
At home, LA Galaxy has scored at least 2 goals in 5 of its last 10 matches (50%). The attack, led by Klauss (5 goals) and Pec (6 goals), is effective. Facing a Toluca defense that has conceded at least 2 goals in 4 of its last 10 away matches, and with the support of its crowd, Galaxy has the means to score multiple times.
2.05
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on LA Galaxy vs Toluca
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
LA Galaxy vs Toluca Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 2 4 | 5 3 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 71% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 25% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 43% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 33% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 33% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 70% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 10% |
2nd half | 70% | 80% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Pec | 40% (4/10) | 50% (3/6) | Paulinho |
| Joseph Paintsil | 33% (3/9) | 30% (3/10) | Nicolas Castro |
| Erik Thommy | 17% (1/6) | 22% (2/9) | Everardo Lopez |
| Lucas Sanabria | 10% (1/10) | 17% (1/6) | Helinho |
| Matheus Nascimento | 33% (1/3) | 20% (1/5) | Jesus Gallardo |
| Maya Yoshida | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Fernando Arce |
| Marco Reus | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Franco Rossi |
13% (1/8) | Jorge Diaz | ||
10% (1/10) | Jesus Angulo | ||
11% (1/9) | Antonio Briseno | ||
10% (1/10) | Francisco Cordova |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Pec | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7 | Paulinho |
| Joseph Paintsil | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Nicolas Castro |
| Marco Reus | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Everardo Lopez |
| Erik Thommy | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jesus Gallardo |
| Maya Yoshida | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jorge Diaz |
| Matheus Nascimento | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jesus Angulo |
| Lucas Sanabria | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Helinho |
⚽1 | Antonio Briseno | ||
⚽1 | Fernando Arce | ||
⚽1 | Franco Rossi | ||
⚽1 | Francisco Cordova |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 60% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 100% |
1.5 | 50% | 60% |
2.5 | 20% | 50% |
3.5 | 10% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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