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Toluca - Los Angeles FC: our prediction

07/05/2026•03:30

Toluca

4:0

(0:0)

Finished

Los Angeles FC

Toluca vs Los Angeles FC Preview — CONCACAF Champions Cup

Toluca, favorite at home, faces Los Angeles FC in the CONCACAF Champions Cup. Toluca has shown inconsistent form (3 wins in 10 matches), but remains dangerous offensively. Los Angeles FC is solid away with 4 wins in 10 matches. Both teams often score (70% for Toluca, 50% for LAFC). The match promises to be open.

Our Toluca vs Los Angeles FC predictions

Both teams to score

Toluca has seen both teams score in 70% of its last 10 matches. Los Angeles FC also has a similar trend (50%). Both teams have in-form attackers (Paulinho for Toluca, Bouanga for LAFC). The odds of 1.44 reflect this high probability well.

1.63

Confidence

High (65 %)

Over 2.5 goals

Statistics show that Toluca has exceeded 2.5 goals in 60% of its matches, and Los Angeles FC also in 60% of its matches. Combined with the high probability that both teams will score, a high total of goals is expected. The odds of 4.2 offer good value.

1.53

Confidence

High (65 %)

Toluca to win

Toluca plays at home and is the favorite, but its recent form is mixed (3 wins in 10). Los Angeles FC is solid away (4 wins in 10). However, home advantage and Toluca's offensive pressure could make the difference. The odds of 5.75 are attractive for a home bet.

1.5

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Market signals on Toluca vs Los Angeles FC

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Toluca vs Los Angeles FC Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Toluca	Los Angeles FC
Win	3 2 5	4 4 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	56%	75%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	33%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	25%	67%
Win by being a favorite	33%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	50% 50%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	50% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	10%	30%
2nd half	80%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Paulinho	50% (3/6)	30% (3/10)	David Martinez
Nicolas Castro	30% (3/10)	25% (2/8)	Denis Bouanga
Everardo Lopez	22% (2/9)	22% (2/9)	Timothy Tillman
Fernando Arce	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Nathan Ordaz
Helinho	17% (1/6)	10% (1/10)	Nkosi Tafari
Antonio Briseno	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Ryan Hollingshead
Jorge Diaz	13% (1/8)
Jesus Angulo	10% (1/10)
Jesus Gallardo	20% (1/5)
Francisco Cordova	10% (1/10)
Franco Rossi	10% (1/10)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Paulinho	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7	⚽⚽⚽3	David Martinez
Nicolas Castro	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Timothy Tillman
Everardo Lopez	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Denis Bouanga
Franco Rossi	⚽1	⚽1	Ryan Hollingshead
Francisco Cordova	⚽1	⚽1	Nathan Ordaz
Jesus Gallardo	⚽1	⚽1	Nkosi Tafari
Jorge Diaz	⚽1
Jesus Angulo	⚽1
Helinho	⚽1
Antonio Briseno	⚽1
Fernando Arce	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	90%
Over corners 7.5	90%	80%
Over corners 8.5	90%	60%
Over corners 9.5	80%	50%
Over corners 10.5	40%	50%
Over corners 11.5	30%	30%
Over corners 12.5	20%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	50%	60%
Over corners 3.5	40%	50%
Over corners 4.5	40%	30%
Over corners 5.5	30%	20%
Over corners 6.5	30%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	100%
1.5	50%	90%
2.5	30%	30%
3.5	10%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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