Trofense - Varzim: our prediction
18/04/2026•20:00
Trofense
0:1
(0:0)
Finished
Varzim
-
1
-
X
-
2
Trofense vs Varzim Preview — Liga 3 Promotion Group
Trofense hosts Varzim in the Liga 3 Promotion Group. Bookmakers have Trofense as slight favorites (odds at 2.40). Over their last 10 matches, Trofense has mixed form (2W, 3D, 5L) while Varzim struggles away from home (0W in their last 10 away matches). Statistics suggest a low-scoring affair, with a strong tendency for under 2.5 goals.
Our Trofense vs Varzim predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
The statistics from the last 10 matches are very clear: 7 of Trofense's last 10 matches ended with under 2.5 goals (70%), and 6 out of 10 for Varzim (60%). Neither team has a prolific attack (Trofense: average 1.5 goals/match, Varzim: 1.3 goals/match). Varzim, particularly weak away from home (0 wins in 10 matches), struggles to score. Trofense's home defense can contain this limited attack. The most likely scenario is a tight match with few chances.
1.57
Confidence
High
Trofense to score under 1.5 goals
This indicator is extremely solid for Trofense: in its last 10 matches, the team has scored under 1.5 goals in 9 instances (90%). Its attack is inefficient with an average of 1.5 goals/match, but often limited to one goal or less. Facing a Varzim defense that is not a sieve (2 clean sheets in 10, 8 matches conceding a goal), it is very likely that Trofense scores only one goal, or even none. This bet is consistent with predictions of a narrow Trofense win and under 2.5 goals.
1.2
Confidence
High
Trofense to Win
Trofense is designated as the favorite by bookmakers (odds 2.40). The team plays at home, a definite advantage against a Varzim that is disastrous away from home (0 wins in last 10 away matches, 6 defeats). Over the last 10 matches, Trofense has won 2 games (20% success rate), which is low, but the context is favorable. Varzim has lost 60% of its last 10 matches. The home advantage and the extreme weakness of the opponent away justify this bet, despite Trofense's irregular form.
2.23
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Trofense vs Varzim
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Trofense vs Varzim Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 3 5 | 4 6 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 60% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 20% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 20% | 67% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 50% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 33% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 30% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 60% |
2nd half | 40% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Moussa Diarra | 40% (4/10) | 20% (2/10) | Chamito |
| Nuninho | 11% (1/9) | 17% (1/6) | Joaozinho |
10% (1/10) | Pedro Clemente | ||
10% (1/10) | Ruben Oliveira | ||
11% (1/9) | Miguel Rebelo | ||
13% (1/8) | Derick | ||
10% (1/10) | Talocha | ||
33% (1/3) | Stitch |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Moussa Diarra | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Chamito |
| Nuninho | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Joaozinho |
⚽1 | Pedro Clemente | ||
⚽1 | Talocha | ||
⚽1 | Stitch | ||
⚽1 | Ruben Oliveira | ||
⚽1 | Miguel Rebelo | ||
⚽1 | Derick |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 40% | 60% |
2.5 | 30% | 30% |
3.5 | 10% | 0% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 10% | 0% |
Lineups
Trofense
Starting XI
Substitutes
Varzim
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | CF Os Belenenses | 59%(19/32) |
| 2 |  | Amarante FC | 53%(17/32) |
| 3 |  | Academica | 47%(15/32) |
| 4 |  | Mafra | 44%(14/32) |
| 5 |  | Vitoria de Guimaraes B | 38%(12/32) |
| 6 |  | Atletico | 43%(12/28) |
| 7 |  | Lusitano de Evora | 39%(11/28) |
| 8 | | Varzim | 34%(11/32) |
| 9 |  | AD Fafe | 36%(10/28) |
| 10 |  | Caldas | 36%(10/28) |
| 11 | | Trofense | 28%(9/32) |
| 12 |  | Paredes | 32%(9/28) |
| 13 |  | Santarem | 25%(8/32) |
| 14 |  | Braga B | 29%(8/28) |
| 15 |  | Sporting Covilha | 25%(7/28) |
| 16 |  | Amora FC | 25%(7/28) |
| 17 |  | SC Joao Ver | 25%(7/28) |
| 18 |  | S.U. 1 de Dezembro | 25%(7/28) |
| 19 | | AD Marco 09 | 25%(7/28) |
| 20 |  | Sanjoanense | 14%(4/28) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Liga 3 Promotion Group
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Liga 3 Promotion Group. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Liga 3 Promotion Group est l'une des compétitions majeures de Portugal. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Liga 3 Promotion Group, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
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- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
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