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Academica - Varzim: our prediction

03/05/2026•20:00

Academica

1:0

(0:0)

Finished

Varzim

Academica vs Varzim Preview — Liga 3 Promotion Group

Academica is the favorite for this Liga 3 Promotion Group match with odds of 1.62. The home team has shown solid form with 5 wins in their last 10 matches, while Varzim has struggled away from home, winning only once. Statistics indicate a trend towards goals for Academica, with 70% of their matches seeing both teams score.

Our Academica vs Varzim predictions

Under 3.5 Goals

Both teams have a strong tendency to play matches with under 3.5 goals. Academica has 80% of their matches under this mark, and Varzim also 80%. Combined with Academica's relatively solid defense at home and Varzim's weak attack away, this bet has a very high probability of success.

1.3

Confidence

Very high (80%)

Varzim Under 1.5 Goals

Varzim has a low offensive output, especially away. In 70% of their matches, they score fewer than 1.5 goals. Academica, while not having a perfect clean sheet record, has shown a defense capable of limiting opponent chances, especially at home. This bet is consistent with the prediction of an Academica win and an under 3.5 goals match.

1.3

Confidence

High (65%)

Academica to Win

Academica is the logical favorite with odds of 1.62. Their recent form (5 wins in 10) and home advantage are key factors. Varzim has a very poor away record (1 win in 10). Academica's win statistics (50%) and the trend of not losing as a favorite (86%) support this bet.

1.58

Confidence

High (65%)

Market signals on Academica vs Varzim

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Academica vs Varzim Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Academica	Varzim
Win	5 3 2	3 1 6
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	86%	60%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	40%	0%
Win by being a favorite	43%	40%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	67%	20%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	67%	20%
Win by being an outsider	67%	20%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	20% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	50%
2nd half	30%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Cascavel	33% (3/9)	20% (2/10)	Chamito
Beni Souza	30% (3/10)	17% (1/6)	Joaozinho
Cuba	30% (3/10)	10% (1/10)	Pedro Clemente
Camilo Triana	22% (2/9)	10% (1/10)	Ruben Oliveira
Marco Baixinho	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Miguel Rebelo
Antonio Xavier	17% (1/6)	13% (1/8)	Derick
Marcos Paulo	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Talocha
Antonio Montez	10% (1/10)	33% (1/3)	Stitch
Leandro Silva	10% (1/10)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Cascavel	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Chamito
Beni Souza	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Ruben Oliveira
Cuba	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Miguel Rebelo
Camilo Triana	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Derick
Leandro Silva	⚽1	⚽1	Joaozinho
Antonio Montez	⚽1	⚽1	Pedro Clemente
Marcos Paulo	⚽1	⚽1	Talocha
Antonio Xavier	⚽1	⚽1	Stitch
Marco Baixinho	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%
Over corners 7.5	0%	0%
Over corners 8.5	0%	0%
Over corners 9.5	0%	0%
Over corners 10.5	0%	0%
Over corners 11.5	0%	0%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	100%
1.5	70%	80%
2.5	30%	40%
3.5	10%	10%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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