Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Lima: our prediction
05/04/2026•03:00
Universitario de Deportes
1:0
(0:0)
Finished
Alianza Lima
-
1
-
X
-
2
Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Lima Preview — Liga 1 Apertura
Universitario de Deportes hosts Alianza Lima in a Peruvian league classic. Universitario is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 2.1) and plays at home. Over the last 10 matches, Universitario has 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while Alianza Lima shows 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss. Statistics suggest a tight match, with a tendency for low scores.
Our Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Lima predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
In the last 10 matches, 6 of Universitario's matches (60%) and 7 of Alianza Lima's matches (70%) ended with under 2.5 goals. Both teams have solid defenses (Universitario: 5 clean sheets, Alianza: 4). The tendency for draws and low scores in Peruvian derbies reinforces this probability. No information on major injuries was found to question the defensive solidity.
1.5
Confidence
High
Universitario de Deportes scores at least 1 goal
At home, Universitario has scored at least one goal in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). The team has attackers like Alex Valera (5 goals in the period). Facing an Alianza Lima defense that conceded in 6 of its last 10 matches, the probability of Universitario scoring is high. No major offensive absences have been reported.
1.31
Confidence
High
Market signals on Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Lima
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Lima Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 4 2 | 6 3 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 78% | 89% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 25% |
Win by being a favorite | 44% | 56% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 100% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 0% | 20% |
2nd half | 60% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Valera | 75% (3/4) | ||
| Cain Jair Fara | 50% (2/4) | ||
| Edison Flores | 50% (2/4) | ||
| Lisandro Alzugaray | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Miguel Silveira dos Santos | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Jose Carabali | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Anderson Santamaria | 25% (1/4) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Valera | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽9 | Eryc Castillo |
| Edison Flores | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Fernando Gaibor |
| Cain Jair Fara | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Federico Girotti |
| Jose Carabali | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Jairo Velez |
| Miguel Silveira dos Santos | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Renzo Garces |
| Lisandro Alzugaray | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alan Cantero |
| Anderson Santamaria | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Esteban Pavez |
⚽1 | Jose Paolo Guerrero | ||
⚽1 | Marco Huaman |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 88% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 75% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 38% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 38% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 25% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 25% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 13% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | | Alianza Lima | 71%(12/17) |
| 2 |  | Cienciano | 59%(10/17) |
| 3 |  | Los Chankas | 59%(10/17) |
| 4 | | Universitario de Deportes | 47%(8/17) |
| 5 |  | Cusco FC | 47%(8/17) |
| 6 |  | FBC Melgar | 47%(8/17) |
| 7 |  | Deportivo Garcilaso | 41%(7/17) |
| 8 |  | Asociacion Deportiva Tarma | 29%(5/17) |
| 9 |  | Club Deportivo Moquegua | 29%(5/17) |
| 10 |  | Comerciantes Unidos | 29%(5/17) |
| 11 |  | Alianza Atletico | 29%(5/17) |
| 12 |  | Sporting Cristal | 29%(5/17) |
| 13 |  | Sport Boys | 29%(5/17) |
| 14 |  | CD UT Cajamarca | 24%(4/17) |
| 15 |  | Sport Huancayo | 24%(4/17) |
| 16 |  | FC Cajamarca | 24%(4/17) |
| 17 | | ADC Juan Pablo II | 24%(4/17) |
| 18 |  | Atletico Grau | 24%(4/17) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Liga 1 Apertura
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Liga 1 Apertura. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Liga 1 Apertura est l'une des compétitions majeures de Peru. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Liga 1 Apertura, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
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