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Emelec - Universidad Catolica: our prediction

01/06/2026

Emelec

01:10

Tomorrow

Universidad Catolica

Emelec vs Universidad Catolica Preview — Serie A

Ecuadorian Serie A match between Emelec and Universidad Catolica. Universidad Catolica is the favorite, with better recent form (5 wins in 10 matches vs 3 for Emelec). Emelec struggles at home, with only 1 win in their last 5 home matches. Universidad Catolica shows good offensive efficiency, scoring in 9 of their last 10 matches.

Our Emelec vs Universidad Catolica predictions

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Emelec's matches are generally low-scoring: 9 of their last 10 matches have had under 3.5 goals (under35: 9/10). For Universidad Catolica, 6 of their last 10 matches have also had under 3.5 goals (under35: 6/10). Combined with Emelec's low offensive output (parou15: 1/10), a low-scoring match is expected.

1.24

Confidence

High (65 %)

Universidad Catolica to score over 0.5 goals

Universidad Catolica has scored in 9 of their last 10 matches (parou05: 9/10). Their attack is in form. Emelec, on the other hand, has conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 matches (cleansheetno: 7/10), making it very likely that Catolica will score at least one goal.

1.3

Confidence

High (65 %)

Universidad Catolica to win

Universidad Catolica is the favorite and has much better recent form with 5 wins in 10 matches, compared to only 3 for Emelec. Furthermore, Emelec is weak at home with only one win in their last 5 home matches. The statistics for winning as favorite (winfav) are 5/8 for Catolica versus 2/6 for Emelec.

2.42

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Emelec vs Universidad Catolica

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Emelec vs Universidad Catolica Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Emelec	Universidad Catolica
Win	3 4 3	5 2 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	83%	88%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	33%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	100%
Win by being a favorite	33%	63%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	25%	0%
Win by being an outsider	25%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	60% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	40% 60%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	40%
2nd half	40%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	10% 90%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2

Total goals per player

	1	2
Luca Klimowicz	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Daniel Clavijo
Jose Cevallos	⚽1	⚽⚽⚽3	Byron Palacios
Luis Fragozo	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Jhon Chancellor
Stalin Valencia	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Eddy Mejia
Sergio Quintero	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Jose Fajardo
		⚽1	Mauricio Alonso
		⚽1	Marcos Sevillano
		⚽1	Diego Palacios

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	100%
Over corners 7.5	0%	50%
Over corners 8.5	0%	50%
Over corners 9.5	0%	50%
Over corners 10.5	0%	50%
Over corners 11.5	0%	50%
Over corners 12.5	0%	50%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

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