Newcastle United - Manchester City: our prediction
07/03/2026•21:00
Newcastle United
1:3
(1:1)
Finished
Manchester City
-
1
-
X
-
2
Newcastle United vs Manchester City Preview — FA Cup
Manchester City, the bookmakers' favorite, faces Newcastle United in the FA Cup. City is in excellent form with 8 wins in their last 10 matches, while Newcastle struggles away from home. Recent statistics show both teams often score and Newcastle's matches regularly exceed 2.5 goals.
Our Newcastle United vs Manchester City predictions
Both Teams to Score
In the last 10 matches, Newcastle has seen both teams score in 100% of games (10/10). Manchester City did so in 50% of their matches (5/10). However, Newcastle has kept no clean sheets (0/10) and scored in every match. City, although defensively solid, could concede against Newcastle's attack (Anthony Gordon, Sandro Tonali). Newcastle's statistic is very strong.
1.44
Confidence
Very high
Over 2.5 Goals
Newcastle's matches have exceeded 2.5 goals in 100% of their last 10 matches (10/10). Manchester City's have done so in 60% of cases (6/10). Newcastle has a fragile defense (no clean sheets) and a productive attack (scores in every match). City, with a quality attack, should contribute to a high-scoring match. The trend in Newcastle's matches is extremely clear.
1.53
Confidence
High
Manchester City Win
Manchester City is in excellent form with 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses in their last 10 matches (80% success rate). Their attack is formidable (Erling Haaland, Antoine Semenyo) and their defense solid (5 clean sheets in 10). Newcastle, at home, has a mixed record (5W, 0D, 5L) and has kept no clean sheets in their last 10 matches. City, the logical favorite, should win.
2.38
Confidence
High
Market signals on Newcastle United vs Manchester City
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Newcastle United vs Manchester City Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 5 | 8 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 67% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 67% | 78% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 25% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 100% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 100% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 100% | 50% 100% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 90% 10% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 70% | 60% |
2nd half | 30% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 100% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 70% 30% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 50% 50% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| William Osula | 40% (4/10) | 56% (5/9) | Erling Haaland |
| Harvey Barnes | 20% (2/10) | 40% (4/10) | Jeremy Doku |
| Anthony Gordon | 22% (2/9) | 33% (3/9) | Antoine Semenyo |
| Nick Woltemade | 10% (1/10) | 20% (2/10) | Omar Marmoush |
| Daniel Burn | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Savinho |
| Anthony Elanga | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Rayan Cherki |
13% (1/8) | Nico O'Reilly | ||
11% (1/9) | Marc Guehi | ||
14% (1/7) | Nico Gonzalez |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| William Osula | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Jeremy Doku |
| Anthony Elanga | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Erling Haaland |
| Harvey Barnes | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Antoine Semenyo |
| Anthony Gordon | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Omar Marmoush |
| Daniel Burn | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Rayan Cherki |
| Nick Woltemade | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Savinho |
⚽1 | Marc Guehi | ||
⚽1 | Nico Gonzalez | ||
⚽1 | Nico O'Reilly |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 90% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 70% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 60% | 10% |
Over corners 11.5 | 60% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 100% |
Over corners 3.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 4.5 | 80% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 70% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 50% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 70% |
1.5 | 70% | 60% |
2.5 | 50% | 50% |
3.5 | 10% | 20% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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