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Mamelodi Sundowns FC - Stade Malien: our prediction

13/03/2026•19:00

Mamelodi Sundowns FC

3:0

(1:0)

Finished

Stade Malien

Mamelodi Sundowns FC vs Stade Malien Preview — CAF Champions League Final Stage

Mamelodi Sundowns FC, favored by bookmakers with odds at 1.44, faces Stade Malien in the CAF Champions League. The Sundowns show solid form with 7 wins in their last 10 matches, while Stade Malien has won 6 of its last 10 games. Statistics suggest a potentially tight match with a solid defense from Stade Malien.

Our Mamelodi Sundowns FC vs Stade Malien predictions

Mamelodi Sundowns FC Win

Mamelodi Sundowns FC is clearly favored with odds at 1.44. In their last 10 matches, they have won 7 times (70% success rate) and lost only twice. They are playing at home, which strengthens their advantage. Stade Malien, although solid with 6 wins out of 10, has a strong defense (7 clean sheets in 10) but may struggle against the Sundowns' attack. No information on major absences was found for either team.

1.18

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 goals

Statistics from both teams support a low-scoring scenario. Mamelodi Sundowns FC has seen under 2.5 goals in 5 of its last 10 matches (50%). Stade Malien is even more defensive, with under 2.5 goals in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). Additionally, Stade Malien has kept 7 clean sheets in 10, indicating a very solid defense. With the Sundowns' home advantage and Stade Malien's rigorous defense, a match with few goals is likely.

1.75

Confidence

High

Market signals on Mamelodi Sundowns FC vs Stade Malien

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Mamelodi Sundowns FC vs Stade Malien Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Mamelodi Sundowns FC	Stade Malien
Win	7 1 2	6 3 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	80%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	25%	100%
Win by being a favorite	70%	75%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	80%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	17%
Win by being an outsider	0%	17%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	70% 30%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	20% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	20%
2nd half	50%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Brayan Leon	80% (4/5)
Tashreeq Matthews	29% (2/7)
Teboho Mokoena	29% (2/7)
Nuno Santos	25% (1/4)
Aubrey Maphosa Modiba	14% (1/7)
Marcelo Allende	14% (1/7)
Tsiki Ntsabeleng	14% (1/7)
Iqraam Rayners	14% (1/7)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Brayan Leon	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Taddeus Nkeng
Tashreeq Matthews	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Ousmane Coulibaly
Teboho Mokoena	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Daouda Coulibaly
Iqraam Rayners	⚽1	⚽1	Ismaila Simpara
Marcelo Allende	⚽1	⚽1	Haman Mandjan
Bennet Mokoena	⚽1	⚽1	Mamadou Traore
Nuno Santos	⚽1
Aubrey Maphosa Modiba	⚽1
Tsiki Ntsabeleng	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	60%	33%
Over corners 7.5	40%	17%
Over corners 8.5	20%	17%
Over corners 9.5	10%	17%
Over corners 10.5	10%	17%
Over corners 11.5	10%	0%
Over corners 12.5	10%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	30%	0%
Over corners 3.5	30%	0%
Over corners 4.5	20%	0%
Over corners 5.5	10%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

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