Stade Malien - Mamelodi Sundowns FC: our prediction
22/03/2026•17:00
Stade Malien
2:0
(2:0)
Finished
Mamelodi Sundowns FC
-
1
-
X
-
2
Stade Malien vs Mamelodi Sundowns FC Preview — CAF Champions League Final Stage
Stade Malien hosts Mamelodi Sundowns FC in the CAF Champions League. Sundowns are favorites with odds at 2.25, showing solid form (8 wins in last 10 matches). Stade Malien, at home, has a strong defense (6 clean sheets in 10) but a less prolific attack. Statistics suggest a tight match with few goals.
Our Stade Malien vs Mamelodi Sundowns FC predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Stade Malien has 80% of matches under 2.5 goals in last 10 (8/10). Mamelodi Sundowns has 50% (5/10). Stade Malien's solid defense (6 clean sheets) and moderate attack of both teams (Stade Malien: 2 BTS in 10; Sundowns: 5 BTS in 10) favor a low-scoring match. Sundowns, as favorites, may win 1-0 or 2-0, but total goals should remain low.
1.5
Confidence
High
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Win
Mamelodi Sundowns is bookmakers' favorite (odds 2.25). They have excellent form: 8 wins in last 10 matches, against only 1 defeat. Stade Malien, at home, has 5 wins in 10, but lost 2 times. Sundowns have an 80% success rate as favorite (8/10). With scorers like Iqraam Rayners (5 goals) and Brayan Leon (5 goals), they have the attack to score. No key absences reported.
2.62
Confidence
High
Stade Malien - Under 1.5 goals
Stade Malien scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%). Their attack is moderate: only 4 times over 0.5 goals per team in 10. Against Sundowns' defense (4 clean sheets in 10, but 6 times the opponent scored), Stade Malien may struggle to score more than one goal. This bet is compatible with a Sundowns win and a match under 2.5 goals.
1.2
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Stade Malien vs Mamelodi Sundowns FC
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Stade Malien vs Mamelodi Sundowns FC Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 3 2 | 8 1 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 90% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 75% | 80% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 67% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 17% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 20% 80% | 50% 20% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 20% |
2nd half | 30% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
80% (4/5) | Brayan Leon | ||
29% (2/7) | Teboho Mokoena | ||
29% (2/7) | Tashreeq Matthews | ||
25% (1/4) | Nuno Santos | ||
14% (1/7) | Marcelo Allende | ||
14% (1/7) | Aubrey Maphosa Modiba | ||
14% (1/7) | Tsiki Ntsabeleng | ||
14% (1/7) | Iqraam Rayners |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Taddeus Nkeng | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8 | Brayan Leon |
| Ousmane Coulibaly | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Tashreeq Matthews |
| Daouda Coulibaly | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Teboho Mokoena |
| Ismaila Simpara | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Tsiki Ntsabeleng |
| Haman Mandjan | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Iqraam Rayners |
| Mamadou Traore | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Marcelo Allende |
⚽1 | Bennet Mokoena | ||
⚽1 | Nuno Santos | ||
⚽1 | Aubrey Maphosa Modiba |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 33% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 17% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 17% | 30% |
Over corners 9.5 | 17% | 20% |
Over corners 10.5 | 17% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 40% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 10% |
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