Melbourne City FC - Buriram United: our prediction
03/03/2026•08:45
Melbourne City FC
1:1
(0:1)
Finished
Buriram United
-
1
-
X
-
2
Melbourne City FC vs Buriram United Preview — AFC Champions League Elite Final Stage
Melbourne City FC hosts Buriram United in the AFC Champions League Elite. Melbourne is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 2.28) but shows mixed form with only 3 wins in their last 10 matches. Buriram United, on the other hand, is in excellent form with 8 wins out of 10 and a solid defense (6 clean sheets). The match promises to be tight, with Melbourne playing at home but facing a very high-performing Thai team.
Our Melbourne City FC vs Buriram United predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics from the last 10 matches support this bet. Buriram United recorded under 2.5 goals in 7 of its last 10 matches (70%). Melbourne City, although more offensive, saw this scenario occur in 4 of its last 10 matches. Buriram's solid defense (6 clean sheets) and their tendency to play low-scoring away matches (only 3 matches with over 2.5 goals out of 10) reinforce this option. The pressure of an elite match in the final stage could also favor cautious play.
1.61
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Melbourne City saw both teams score in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%), showing a sometimes leaky defense (only 2 clean sheets). Buriram United, although defensively solid, scored in 9 of its last 10 matches, demonstrating an efficient attack. Melbourne playing at home should create chances, but Buriram's offensive quality suggests they can also find the net. However, Buriram's strong defense (only 3 BTS matches out of 10) slightly tempers confidence.
1.86
Confidence
Medium
Draw
This bet is based on the balance of power and recent trends. Melbourne City drew in 3 of its last 10 matches. Buriram United had only one draw in the same period, but its excellent form (8 wins) makes it a formidable opponent, even away. The high odds (3.10) reflect Buriram's low draw percentage. However, Melbourne's favorite status at home, combined with Buriram's solid form, could lead to a stalemate, especially as both teams might adopt a cautious approach in the final stage of the competition.
3
Confidence
Low
Market signals on Melbourne City FC vs Buriram United
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Melbourne City FC vs Buriram United Statistics
Win
Win | 3 3 4 | 8 1 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 57% | 90% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 20% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 29% | 80% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 67% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 33% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 33% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 30% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 40% |
2nd half | 60% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Younis | 67% (6/9) | 100% (4/4) | Bissoli |
| Medin Memeti | 25% (2/8) | 100% (3/3) | Peter Zulj |
| Max Caputo | 20% (2/10) | 100% (2/2) | Robert Zulj |
| Aziz Behich | 20% (2/10) | 100% (2/2) | Ruben Sanchez |
| Andrew Nabbout | 33% (2/6) | 50% (1/2) | Sasalak Haiprakhon |
| Andreas Kuen | 22% (2/9) | 50% (1/2) | Kingsley Schindler |
| Zane Schreiber | 10% (1/10) | 50% (1/2) | Sandy Walsh |
| Matthew Leckie | 25% (1/4) | 100% (1/1) | Narubodin Weerawatnodom |
| Elbasan Rashani | 10% (1/10) | 50% (1/2) | Pansa Hemviboon |
| Benjamin Mazzeo | 33% (1/3) | 50% (1/2) | Supachai Chaided |
| Daniel Arzani | 14% (1/7) | 50% (1/2) | Kenneth Dougall |
50% (1/2) | Goran Causic |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Younis | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Bissoli |
| Medin Memeti | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Robert Zulj |
| Max Caputo | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Peter Zulj |
| Andreas Kuen | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Ruben Sanchez |
| Aziz Behich | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Kenneth Dougall |
| Andrew Nabbout | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Supachai Chaided |
| Daniel Arzani | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Pansa Hemviboon |
| Matthew Leckie | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Kingsley Schindler |
| Benjamin Mazzeo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Sandy Walsh |
| Elbasan Rashani | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Narubodin Weerawatnodom |
| Zane Schreiber | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Goran Causic |
⚽1 | Thanakrit Chotmuangpak | ||
⚽1 | Sasalak Haiprakhon |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 20% |
1.5 | 40% | 10% |
2.5 | 30% | 10% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
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