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Luton Town/Plymouth Argyle - Northampton Town: our prediction

04/03/2026

Luton Town/Plymouth Argyle

20:30

Northampton Town

Luton Town/Plymouth Argyle vs Northampton Town Preview — EFL Trophy Final Stage

Northampton Town faces Luton Town/Plymouth Argyle in the EFL Trophy. Northampton shows mixed form with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses in their last 10 matches. The team scores regularly but their defense is vulnerable, with 6 matches where both teams scored. No injury information is available.

Our Luton Town/Plymouth Argyle vs Northampton Town predictions

Under 2.5 goals per team (Northampton)

Northampton Town scored under 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches (90%). Their top scorer, Tom Eaves, has 5 goals, but the team generally doesn't exceed 2 goals per match. Even with a regular attack, they lack the power to achieve big scores.

1.3

Confidence

Very high

Both teams to score

Northampton Town has seen both teams score in 6 of their last 10 matches (60%). Their attack is active with Tom Eaves (5 goals), but their defense conceded in 9 of these 10 matches. Against a similarly leveled opponent, a goal exchange is likely.

1.85

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 goals per match

6 of Northampton Town's last 10 matches exceeded 2.5 total goals. The team combines a capable attack (scored in 9/10 matches) with a defense that often concedes. In a cup match where teams can be more offensive, a scenario with over 2 goals is plausible.

2.1

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Luton Town/Plymouth Argyle vs Northampton Town

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Luton Town/Plymouth Argyle vs Northampton Town Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Luton Town/Plymouth Argyle	Northampton Town
Win	0%	2 3 5
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	0%
Win by being a favorite	0%	0%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	56%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	22%
Win by being an outsider	0%	22%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	0%	10% 90%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	100%	60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	100%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	0%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	0%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	0%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	0%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	100%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	0%	20%
2nd half	0%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	0%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	0%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	0%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	0%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	0%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	0%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	0%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	0%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	0%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	0%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
		30% (3/10)	Cameron McGeehan
		22% (2/9)	Jake Evans
		20% (1/5)	Elliott List
		10% (1/10)	Michael Jacobs
		10% (1/10)	Sam Hoskins

Total goals per player

	1	2
		⚽⚽⚽3	Cameron McGeehan
		⚽⚽2	Jake Evans
		⚽1	Sam Hoskins
		⚽1	Michael Jacobs
		⚽1	Elliott List

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
corner_over65	0%	0%
corner_over75	0%	0%
corner_over85	0%	0%
corner_over95	0%	0%
corner_over105	0%	0%
corner_over115	0%	0%
corner_over125	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
corner_parou25	0%	0%
corner_parou35	0%	0%
corner_parou45	0%	0%
corner_parou55	0%	0%
corner_parou65	0%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	0%	90%
1.5	0%	30%
2.5	0%	10%
3.5	0%	10%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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