Birmingham City Women - Manchester City Women: our prediction
06/04/2026•18:00
Birmingham City Women
0:1
(0:1)
Finished
Manchester City Women
-
1
-
X
-
2
Birmingham City Women vs Manchester City Women Preview — Women's FA Cup
Manchester City Women, heavy favorites (odds 1.06), face Birmingham City Women in the Women's FA Cup. Manchester City is in solid form with 7 wins in their last 10 matches, while Birmingham, struggling, has only won 4 of their last 10. The gulf in class and Manchester City's pronounced offensive statistics point towards a comfortable away victory.
Our Birmingham City Women vs Manchester City Women predictions
Manchester City Women to Win
Manchester City is the overwhelming favorite (odds 1.06) and shows excellent form: 7 wins in the last 10 matches (70% success rate). The team does not lose when favored (7/7). Birmingham, at home, is struggling (4 wins/10) and has a fragile defense (clean sheet only 1 time/10). The quality gap, especially offensively with scorers like Shaw (7 goals) and Miedema (7 goals), should be decisive.
1.06
Confidence
Very high
Manchester City Women to score over 1.5 goals
Manchester City has scored over 1.5 goals in 7 of its last 10 matches. The attack is formidable with Shaw (7 goals), Miedema (7 goals), and Kerolin (6 goals). Against Birmingham's defense, which has kept a clean sheet only once in 10 games and regularly concedes (9 matches without a clean sheet), it is very likely that Manchester City will score at least twice.
1.11
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Birmingham's matches are very high-scoring: 'Over 2.5' has occurred in 100% of their last 10 matches (10/10). Manchester City also has a strong over tendency with 7 occurrences in 10. Birmingham's weak defense (9 matches without a clean sheet/10) against Manchester City's powerful attack (Shaw, Miedema, Kerolin) and Birmingham's ability to score (7 matches BTS/10) suggest a match with over 2 goals.
1.25
Confidence
High
Market signals on Birmingham City Women vs Manchester City Women
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Birmingham City Women vs Manchester City Women Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 2 4 | 7 1 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 75% | 88% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 17% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Leading at half-time | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 70% |
2nd half | 60% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
86% (6/7) | Khadija Shaw | ||
43% (3/7) | Kerolin | ||
50% (2/4) | Vivianne Miedema | ||
29% (2/7) | Laura Coombs | ||
40% (2/5) | Aoba Fujino | ||
17% (1/6) | Rebecca Knaak | ||
14% (1/7) | Kerstin Casparij | ||
25% (1/4) | Mary Fowler | ||
14% (1/7) | Jade Rose | ||
14% (1/7) | Lauren Hemp | ||
20% (1/5) | Yui Hasegawa |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Veatriki Sarri | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽9 | Khadija Shaw |
| Oceane Hurtre | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Vivianne Miedema |
| Batcheba Louis | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Kerolin |
| Simone Magill | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Aoba Fujino |
| Christie Murray | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Lauren Hemp |
| Riya Mannu | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Laura Coombs |
| Lotta Lindstroem | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Kerstin Casparij |
| Wilma Leidhammar | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Rebecca Knaak |
| Louanne Worsley | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Mary Fowler |
| Ava Baker | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jade Rose |
| Asato Miyagawa | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Yui Hasegawa |
| Lily Crosthwaite | ⚽1 | ||
| Geum-Min Lee | ⚽1 | ||
| Libby Smith | ⚽1 | ||
| Lily Agg | ⚽1 | ||
| Lucy Quinn | ⚽1 | ||
| Shanade Hopcroft | ⚽1 | ||
| Chelsea Cornet | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 60% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 60% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 60% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 50% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 40% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 0% | 30% |
1.5 | 0% | 10% |
2.5 | 0% | 0% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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