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O'Higgins - Tolima: our prediction

05/03/2026•01:30

O'Higgins

1:0

(1:0)

Finished

Tolima

O'Higgins vs Tolima Preview — Copa Libertadores Qualification

O'Higgins hosts Tolima in Copa Libertadores qualification. The Chileans are favorites with odds of 2.30, showing inconsistent form (5W, 0D, 5L in 10). Tolima, struggling away, has difficulty scoring. Statistics suggest a tight match with few goals.

Our O'Higgins vs Tolima predictions

Under 2.5 goals in the match

50% of O'Higgins' last 10 matches ended with under 2.5 goals. Tolima has an even higher rate of 60%. Both teams have unproductive attacks (O'Higgins: 5/10 matches Over 1.5 goals; Tolima: 4/10). The qualification pressure and Tolima's offensive struggles away reinforce this trend.

1.5

Confidence

High

Tolima scores under 1.5 goals

The statistics are very clear: Tolima scored under 1.5 goals in 60% of its last 10 matches (6/10). Away from home, their attack is particularly ineffective (0 wins in 10 matches as an outsider). Facing an O'Higgins defense that keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time, it is very likely that Tolima will score at most one goal, if any.

1.25

Confidence

High

O'Higgins Win

O'Higgins is the bookmakers' favorite (odds 2.30). At home, they have a 50% win rate in the last 10 matches. Tolima, on the other hand, is very weak away (0 wins in 10 matches as an outsider). The Chilean defense (3 clean sheets/10) could contain a Tolima attack that scores little away. However, O'Higgins' inconsistent form (5 losses/10) limits confidence.

2.45

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on O'Higgins vs Tolima

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

O'Higgins vs Tolima Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	O'Higgins	Tolima
Win	5 5	4 3 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	71%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	33%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	75%
Win by being a favorite	100%	57%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	29%	67%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	29%	0%
Win by being an outsider	29%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	50% 50%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	30% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	20%
2nd half	60%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Arnaldo Castillo	30% (3/10)	100% (3/3)	Luis Sandoval
Francisco Gonzalez	30% (3/10)	75% (3/4)	Jersson Gonzalez
Thiago Vecino	30% (3/10)	25% (1/4)	Sebastian Guzman
Bastian Yanez	10% (1/10)	25% (1/4)	Juan Pablo Torres
Alan Robledo	25% (1/4)	25% (1/4)	Jherson Mosquera
Martin Sarrafiore	10% (1/10)	25% (1/4)	Ever Valencia
		25% (1/4)	Adrian Parra

Total goals per player

	1	2
Thiago Vecino	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Luis Sandoval
Arnaldo Castillo	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Jersson Gonzalez
Francisco Gonzalez	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Sebastian Guzman
Bastian Yanez	⚽1	⚽1	Adrian Parra
Martin Sarrafiore	⚽1	⚽1	Ever Valencia
Alan Robledo	⚽1	⚽1	Juan Pablo Torres
		⚽1	Jherson Mosquera

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	40%	0%
Over corners 7.5	40%	0%
Over corners 8.5	40%	0%
Over corners 9.5	40%	0%
Over corners 10.5	30%	0%
Over corners 11.5	30%	0%
Over corners 12.5	20%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	70%	0%
Over corners 3.5	40%	0%
Over corners 4.5	30%	0%
Over corners 5.5	20%	0%
Over corners 6.5	20%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	50%	0%
1.5	30%	0%
2.5	20%	0%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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