Rugby

Tennis

Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain: our prediction

17/03/2026•21:00

Chelsea

0:3

(0:2)

Finished

Paris Saint-Germain

Chelsea vs Paris Saint-Germain Preview — Champions League Final Stage

Chelsea hosts Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League final stage. Chelsea is a slight favorite with bookmakers (odds 2.09) despite recent mixed form (3 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses in last 10 matches). PSG shows better momentum (6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses in 10) and a more prolific attack. Recent historical statistics suggest an open match with goals.

Our Chelsea vs Paris Saint-Germain predictions

Both teams to score

Chelsea has seen both teams score in 7 of its last 10 matches (70%). PSG has also recorded this scenario in 7 of its last 10 matches (70%). The defenses of both teams are not solid (Chelsea: 1 clean sheet/10; PSG: 3/10). With quality attacks on both sides (Palmer, Pedro for Chelsea; Barcola, Kvaratskhelia, Dembélé for PSG), it is likely that each team finds the back of the net.

1.4

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 goals

Chelsea's matches exceeded 2.5 goals in 7 of the last 10 matches (70%). Those of PSG did so in 8 of the last 10 (80%). PSG's offensive trend (9 matches out of 10 with over 1.5 goals scored by the team) and Chelsea's defensive vulnerability (9 matches out of 10 without a clean sheet) strongly support a scenario of over 2 goals. The stakes of the Champions League final stage also encourage offensive play.

1.42

Confidence

High

Paris Saint-Germain to win

PSG shows significantly better form over the last 10 matches (6 wins vs 3 for Chelsea). PSG also has a better performance as the favorite team (6 wins/10 as favorite vs 3/7 for Chelsea). The Parisian attack, with Barcola, Kvaratskhelia, and Dembélé, seems sharper and more consistent. Although Chelsea is playing at home and is a slight favorite with bookmakers, the momentum and recent statistics lean towards a PSG away win, offering an interesting odds value.

2.65

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Chelsea vs Paris Saint-Germain

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Chelsea vs Paris Saint-Germain Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Chelsea	Paris Saint-Germain
Win	3 3 4	6 2 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	86%	80%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	100%	100%
Win by being a favorite	43%	60%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	70% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	60% 40%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	50%
2nd half	40%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Enzo Fernandez	33% (3/9)	40% (4/10)	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Andrey Santos	20% (2/10)	30% (3/10)	Ousmane Dembele
Joao Pedro	25% (2/8)	20% (2/10)	Desire Doue
Alejandro Garnacho	13% (1/8)	22% (2/9)	Ibrahim Mbaye
Cole Palmer	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Senny Mayulu
Tosin Adarabioyo	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Lucas Beraldo
Estevao	33% (1/3)	13% (1/8)	Warren Zaire-Emery
Jorrel Hato	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Bradley Barcola
		11% (1/9)	Kang-In Lee
		10% (1/10)	Joao Neves

Total goals per player

	1	2
Enzo Fernandez	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Joao Pedro	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Ousmane Dembele
Andrey Santos	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Desire Doue
Alejandro Garnacho	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Ibrahim Mbaye
Jorrel Hato	⚽1	⚽1	Lucas Beraldo
Estevao	⚽1	⚽1	Joao Neves
Cole Palmer	⚽1	⚽1	Bradley Barcola
Tosin Adarabioyo	⚽1	⚽1	Senny Mayulu
		⚽1	Warren Zaire-Emery
		⚽1	Kang-In Lee

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	60%
Over corners 7.5	60%	50%
Over corners 8.5	60%	50%
Over corners 9.5	50%	40%
Over corners 10.5	50%	30%
Over corners 11.5	30%	30%
Over corners 12.5	30%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	100%	90%
Over corners 3.5	90%	80%
Over corners 4.5	50%	70%
Over corners 5.5	40%	50%
Over corners 6.5	40%	50%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	40%
1.5	80%	10%
2.5	50%	0%
3.5	20%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

Betting actions

Manage your bets and alerts

TODAY'S OFFERS

Exclusive new customer offers