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Atletico Madrid - Arsenal: our prediction

29/04/2026•21:00

Atletico Madrid

1:1

(0:1)

Finished

Arsenal

Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal Preview — Champions League Final Stage

Arsenal travel to Atletico Madrid for a Champions League clash. The Gunners are favorites with odds of 2.55, while the Colchoneros are at 2.9. Arsenal have won 4 of their last 10 matches, compared to 3 for Atletico. Both teams score in 80% of Atletico's matches, but only 40% for Arsenal. The match promises to be tight.

Our Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal predictions

Over 1.5 goals (Atletico Madrid)

Atletico Madrid have scored over 1.5 goals in 80% of their last 10 matches (parou15 indicator at 80%). With forwards like Julian Alvarez and Ademola Lookman in form, the home side should find the net at least twice.

1.36

Confidence

Very high (80%)

Under 2.5 goals (Arsenal)

Arsenal have seen under 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 10 matches (under25 indicator at 70%). The Gunners' defense is solid, and they struggle to score more than one goal away from home.

1.66

Confidence

High (70%)

Both teams to score

Both teams score in 80% of Atletico Madrid's home matches (bts indicator at 80%). Arsenal also have a good attack with Havertz and Gyökeres. Although Arsenal's defense is solid, Atletico should score at home.

1.85

Confidence

High (65%)

Market signals on Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Atletico Madrid	Arsenal
Win	3 1 6	4 2 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	100%	0%
Win by being a favorite	67%	44%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	14%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	14%	0%
Win by being an outsider	14%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	50% 50%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	80% 20%	40% 80%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	20% 80%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	60%	30%
2nd half	30%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	80% 20%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	50% 50%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	40% 60%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	100%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Ademola Lookman	38% (3/8)	30% (3/10)	Viktor Gyoekeres
Nico Gonzalez	50% (2/4)	25% (2/8)	Kai Havertz
Julian Alvarez	50% (2/4)	22% (2/9)	Bukayo Saka
Alexander Soerloth	25% (2/8)	11% (1/9)	Leandro Trossard
Marc Pubill	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Gabriel Jesus
Iker Luque	17% (1/6)	10% (1/10)	Noni Madueke
Thiago Almada	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Eberechi Eze
Miguel Llorente	17% (1/6)
Alejandro Baena	11% (1/9)
Antoine Griezmann	10% (1/10)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Alexander Soerloth	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Viktor Gyoekeres
Nico Gonzalez	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Kai Havertz
Ademola Lookman	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Bukayo Saka
Julian Alvarez	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Eberechi Eze
Alejandro Baena	⚽1	⚽1	Leandro Trossard
Antoine Griezmann	⚽1	⚽1	Gabriel Jesus
Iker Luque	⚽1	⚽1	Noni Madueke
Marc Pubill	⚽1
Thiago Almada	⚽1
Miguel Llorente	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	80%
Over corners 7.5	70%	70%
Over corners 8.5	60%	70%
Over corners 9.5	60%	60%
Over corners 10.5	50%	60%
Over corners 11.5	40%	30%
Over corners 12.5	30%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	60%	100%
Over corners 3.5	40%	80%
Over corners 4.5	40%	70%
Over corners 5.5	30%	60%
Over corners 6.5	20%	60%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	70%
1.5	80%	40%
2.5	60%	20%
3.5	30%	0%
4.5	10%	0%
5.5	10%	0%

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