Rugby

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Lyon - Celta Vigo: our prediction

19/03/2026•18:45

Lyon

0:2

(0:0)

Finished

Celta Vigo

Lyon vs Celta Vigo Preview — Europa League Final Stage

Lyon faces Celta Vigo in the Europa League. Recent statistics show Lyon as the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 2.02. Over their last 10 matches, both teams have a similar record (4 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses). Indicators suggest a tight match with a high probability of both teams scoring.

Our Lyon vs Celta Vigo predictions

Both teams to score

Over the last 10 matches, both teams have scored in 50% of Lyon's games and 70% of Celta Vigo's games. Both teams have regular scorers (Tolisso 5 goals, Iglesias/Jutgla/Aspas 3 goals each). Defenses are leaky (Lyon: 5 clean sheets in 10, Celta: 3 in 10). Statistical probability is strong.

1.8

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 goals

Lyon finished under 2.5 goals in 70% of its last 10 matches (7/10). Celta Vigo did so in 50% of cases (5/10). Goals per team statistics show that neither team regularly scores more than 1.5 goals per match (4/10 for each). The trend is towards low-scoring games.

1.71

Confidence

High

Draw

Both teams have drawn in 40% of their last 10 matches (4/10 each). Lyon is favored but its win odds (2.02) reflect limited confidence. Celta Vigo has a solid ability not to lose as an outsider (3/4). The balance of power and draw statistics support this scenario.

3.28

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Lyon vs Celta Vigo

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Lyon vs Celta Vigo Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Lyon	Celta Vigo
Win	4 4 2	4 4 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	83%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	67%	25%
Win by being a favorite	67%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	75%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	25%
Win by being an outsider	0%	25%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	70% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	10% 90%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	20%
2nd half	40%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Corentin Tolisso	44% (4/9)	30% (3/10)	Borja Iglesias
Roman Yaremchuk	33% (3/9)	22% (2/9)	Williot Swedberg
Afonso Moreira	22% (2/9)	11% (1/9)	Ilaix Moriba
Endrick	20% (2/10)	13% (1/8)	Hugo Alvarez
Pavel Sulc	14% (1/7)	10% (1/10)	Ferran Jutgla
		10% (1/10)	Iago Aspas

Total goals per player

	1	2
Roman Yaremchuk	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Borja Iglesias
Corentin Tolisso	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽2	Williot Swedberg
Endrick	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Ferran Jutgla
Afonso Moreira	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Hugo Alvarez
Pavel Sulc	⚽1	⚽1	Ilaix Moriba
		⚽1	Iago Aspas

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	80%
Over corners 7.5	70%	50%
Over corners 8.5	70%	30%
Over corners 9.5	40%	20%
Over corners 10.5	30%	10%
Over corners 11.5	30%	10%
Over corners 12.5	30%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	60%	70%
Over corners 3.5	60%	50%
Over corners 4.5	50%	40%
Over corners 5.5	50%	40%
Over corners 6.5	40%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	90%
1.5	80%	60%
2.5	30%	20%
3.5	10%	10%
4.5	0%	10%
5.5	0%	0%

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