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Aston Villa - Lille: our prediction

19/03/2026•21:00

Aston Villa

2:0

(0:0)

Finished

Lille

Aston Villa vs Lille Preview — Europa League Final Stage

Aston Villa hosts Lille in the Europa League. Villa is the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.64. In their last 10 matches, Aston Villa has won 3 times, drawn 2, and lost 5 (30% success rate). Lille, away from home, has won 4 out of 10. The 'Both teams to score' bet has occurred 6 times for Villa and 3 times for Lille out of 10. The 'Over 2.5 goals' bet has been successful in 40% of Villa's matches and only 10% for Lille.

Our Aston Villa vs Lille predictions

Aston Villa Win

Aston Villa is playing at home and is clearly favored by the bookmakers (odds at 1.64). Although their recent form is mixed (3 wins in 10 matches), they have the home advantage. Lille, away from home, shows solid defense (9 out of 10 matches with less than 2.5 goals conceded) but a less prolific attack away. The odds value and home advantage lean in favor of Villa.

1.7

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 goals

The teams' statistics strongly support this bet. Aston Villa has played under 2.5 total goals in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%). Lille is even more defensive away from home, with 9 out of 10 matches ending with less than 2.5 goals (90%). Lille's style away seems cautious. Even if goals from both sides are expected, the total should remain low, likely 2-1 or 1-1, which validates 'Under 2.5 goals'.

1.78

Confidence

High

Both teams to score

In the last 10 matches, Aston Villa has seen both teams score in 60% of cases (6/10). Lille, on the other hand, has a lower rate (30%, 3/10), but this includes all its matches. Villa at home has a defense that regularly concedes (only 2 clean sheets in 10). Lille has scored in 6 of its last 10 matches. It is likely that Villa scores at home, and Lille could find the net against a sometimes fragile Villa defense.

1.9

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Aston Villa vs Lille

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Aston Villa vs Lille Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Aston Villa	Lille
Win	3 2 5	4 3 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	71%	86%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	33%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	33%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	40%	100%
Win by being a favorite	43%	43%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	33%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	33%
Win by being an outsider	0%	33%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	30% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	10% 90%	100%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	40%
2nd half	60%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Ollie Watkins	60% (6/10)	40% (4/10)	Matias Fernandez-Pardo
Morgan Rogers	44% (4/9)	30% (3/10)	Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
Emiliano Buendia	40% (4/10)	20% (2/10)	Olivier Giroud
John McGinn	22% (2/9)	22% (2/9)	Thomas Meunier
Youri Tielemans	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Romain Perraud
Ezri Konsa	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Felix Correia
Ross Barkley	17% (1/6)
Tammy Abraham	11% (1/9)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Ollie Watkins	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽9	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Matias Fernandez-Pardo
Emiliano Buendia	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
Morgan Rogers	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽2	Thomas Meunier
John McGinn	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Olivier Giroud
Ross Barkley	⚽1	⚽1	Felix Correia
Ezri Konsa	⚽1	⚽1	Romain Perraud
Youri Tielemans	⚽1
Tammy Abraham	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	70%	70%
Over corners 7.5	70%	50%
Over corners 8.5	70%	40%
Over corners 9.5	60%	30%
Over corners 10.5	60%	30%
Over corners 11.5	50%	30%
Over corners 12.5	20%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	90%
Over corners 3.5	80%	80%
Over corners 4.5	60%	70%
Over corners 5.5	50%	60%
Over corners 6.5	30%	40%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	80%
1.5	60%	40%
2.5	20%	40%
3.5	0%	30%
4.5	0%	10%
5.5	0%	0%

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