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Bologna - Aston Villa: our prediction

09/04/2026•21:00

Bologna

1:3

(0:1)

Finished

Aston Villa

Bologna vs Aston Villa Preview — Europa League Final Stage

Bologna hosts Aston Villa in the Europa League. Villa is the favorite (odds 2.3) despite recent mixed form (4W, 1D, 5L). Bologna, at home, has a solid defense (5 clean sheets in 10) but a limited attack. Statistics suggest a tight match with few goals.

Our Bologna vs Aston Villa predictions

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Bologna has a strong tendency for low-scoring games (7/10 last matches under 2.5 goals). Aston Villa, although more offensive, has scored only 4 times in 10 away matches. Both teams have reliable defenses (Bologna 5 clean sheets, Villa 4). No information on major absences. The match should be tactical and low-scoring.

1.67

Confidence

High

Bologna scores under 1.5 goals

Bologna has scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of its last 10 matches. Its attack is limited (only 2 players have scored more than one goal). Facing Aston Villa's defense (4 clean sheets in 10 matches), it is unlikely they will score more than one goal. No key absences reported for Villa that could weaken its defense.

1.2

Confidence

High

Aston Villa scores over 0.5 goals

Aston Villa has scored at least one goal in 9 of its last 10 matches. Attackers like Watkins and Abraham are capable of breaking through. However, Bologna has a solid home defense (5 clean sheets). The odds reflect a moderate probability. No major injuries reported for Villa's attackers.

1.25

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Bologna vs Aston Villa

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Bologna vs Aston Villa Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Bologna	Aston Villa
Win	6 2 2	4 1 5
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	71%	71%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	80%	67%
Win by being a favorite	71%	57%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	33%	0%
Win by being an outsider	33%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	50% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	20%
2nd half	60%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Riccardo Orsolini	33% (3/9)	60% (6/10)	Ollie Watkins
Jonathan Rowe	30% (3/10)	40% (4/10)	Emiliano Buendia
Federico Bernardeschi	22% (2/9)	44% (4/9)	Morgan Rogers
Joao Mario	11% (1/9)	22% (2/9)	John McGinn
Tommaso Pobega	10% (1/10)	17% (1/6)	Ross Barkley
Remo Freuler	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Ezri Konsa
		11% (1/9)	Tammy Abraham
		10% (1/10)	Youri Tielemans

Total goals per player

	1	2
Jonathan Rowe	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽9	Ollie Watkins
Riccardo Orsolini	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Morgan Rogers
Federico Bernardeschi	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Emiliano Buendia
Tommaso Pobega	⚽1	⚽⚽⚽3	John McGinn
Joao Mario	⚽1	⚽1	Youri Tielemans
Remo Freuler	⚽1	⚽1	Tammy Abraham
		⚽1	Ross Barkley
		⚽1	Ezri Konsa

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	80%
Over corners 7.5	80%	80%
Over corners 8.5	70%	80%
Over corners 9.5	70%	70%
Over corners 10.5	60%	60%
Over corners 11.5	20%	50%
Over corners 12.5	10%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	80%
Over corners 3.5	90%	70%
Over corners 4.5	30%	70%
Over corners 5.5	20%	50%
Over corners 6.5	20%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	80%
1.5	70%	60%
2.5	30%	20%
3.5	10%	0%
4.5	10%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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