Rugby

Tennis

Celta Vigo - Freiburg: our prediction

16/04/2026•18:45

Celta Vigo

1:3

(0:2)

Finished

Freiburg

Celta Vigo vs Freiburg Preview — Europa League Final Stage

Celta Vigo hosts Freiburg in the Europa League final stage. Bookmakers have Celta Vigo as the favorite (odds 1.88). Over their last 10 matches, Celta has won 40% of its encounters, while Freiburg has won 50%. Both teams score regularly (Celta: 60%, Freiburg: 50%). The 'Over 2.5 goals' bet has occurred 60% of the time for both teams.

Our Celta Vigo vs Freiburg predictions

Celta Vigo - Over 0.5 goals

Celta Vigo, at home and favored by bookmakers, has scored at least one goal in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). The 'Over 0.5 goals (per team)' indicator has been validated 80% of the time for Celta over this period. The team has confident attackers like Ferran Jutglà (4 goals in 10 matches). Facing a Freiburg defense that has kept a clean sheet only 2 times out of 10, the probability that Celta Vigo finds the back of the net at least once is extremely high, especially with the support of its fans.

1.16

Confidence

Very high

Over 2.5 goals per match

The 'Over 2.5 goals' bet has occurred in 60% of the last matches of both teams (6/10 each). Celta Vigo has scored 'Over 1.5 goals' 9 times out of 10, showing a productive attack. Freiburg, for its part, has scored 'Over 1.5 goals' in 7 of its last 10 matches. Defenses concede regularly: Celta has conceded at least one goal in 8 matches out of 10, Freiburg in 8 matches out of 10. The combination of effective attacks and permeable defenses, added to the European stake, favors a match with at least 3 goals.

1.78

Confidence

High

Both teams to score

Over the last 10 matches, Celta Vigo has seen both teams score in 60% of cases (6/10), and Freiburg in 50% of cases (5/10). Attacking statistics show that Celta scored at least one goal in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%), while Freiburg did so in 7 matches (70%). Defenses are not watertight: Celta kept a clean sheet only 2 times, Freiburg also 2 times. With in-form scorers like Jutglà (Celta) and Matanovic/Ginter (Freiburg), an open match with goals from both sides is likely.

1.7

Confidence

High

Market signals on Celta Vigo vs Freiburg

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Celta Vigo vs Freiburg Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Celta Vigo	Freiburg
Win	4 2 4	5 1 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	50%	60%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	50%
Win by being a favorite	25%	60%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	67%	60%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	50%	40%
Win by being an outsider	50%	40%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	50% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	30%
2nd half	40%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Borja Iglesias	30% (3/10)	30% (3/10)	Igor Matanovic
Williot Swedberg	22% (2/9)	20% (2/10)	Maximilian Eggestein
Ilaix Moriba	11% (1/9)	22% (2/9)	Johan Manzambi
Hugo Alvarez	13% (1/8)	20% (1/5)	Yuito Suzuki
Ferran Jutgla	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Vincenzo Grifo
Iago Aspas	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Matthias Ginter
		10% (1/10)	Derry Scherhant
		10% (1/10)	Lukas Kuebler
		10% (1/10)	Philipp Lienhart
		10% (1/10)	Jan-Niklas Beste

Total goals per player

	1	2
Borja Iglesias	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Igor Matanovic
Ferran Jutgla	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Yuito Suzuki
Williot Swedberg	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Maximilian Eggestein
Ilaix Moriba	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Johan Manzambi
Iago Aspas	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Lukas Kuebler
Hugo Alvarez	⚽1	⚽1	Philipp Lienhart
		⚽1	Derry Scherhant
		⚽1	Jan-Niklas Beste
		⚽1	Matthias Ginter
		⚽1	Vincenzo Grifo

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	60%	70%
Over corners 7.5	20%	60%
Over corners 8.5	10%	40%
Over corners 9.5	10%	40%
Over corners 10.5	10%	30%
Over corners 11.5	10%	20%
Over corners 12.5	10%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	60%	90%
Over corners 3.5	60%	60%
Over corners 4.5	30%	50%
Over corners 5.5	30%	30%
Over corners 6.5	0%	10%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	90%
1.5	60%	50%
2.5	40%	40%
3.5	20%	30%
4.5	20%	10%
5.5	0%	0%

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