Nottingham Forest - FC Porto: our prediction
16/04/2026•21:00
Nottingham Forest
1:0
(1:0)
Finished
FC Porto
-
1
-
X
-
2
Nottingham Forest vs FC Porto Preview — Europa League Final Stage
Nottingham Forest hosts FC Porto in the Europa League. Forest, the bookmakers' favorite (odds 2.30), shows mixed form with only 2 wins in their last 10 matches. Porto, away from home, has a more solid record with 6 wins out of 10. Recent statistics suggest a tight match with goals likely from both sides.
Our Nottingham Forest vs FC Porto predictions
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, Nottingham Forest has seen both teams score in 60% of cases (6/10), while FC Porto has done so in 70% of cases (7/10). The defenses of both teams are not watertight (only 2 clean sheets each in 10 matches). Porto's attack is effective (9 out of 10 matches with +1.5 goals per match), and Forest scores regularly at home. The likelihood of both nets shaking is strong.
1.91
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals
Offensive statistics support this bet. Porto recorded +2.5 goals in 70% of its last 10 matches (7/10). Forest, less prolific, did so in 50% of cases (5/10). The 'Both teams to score' trend combined with Porto's offensive efficiency (8 out of 10 matches with +1.5 goals per team) makes a score of 3 goals or more plausible. However, Forest's sometimes rigorous defensive form (5 out of 10 matches with -2.5 goals) slightly tempers confidence.
2.3
Confidence
Medium
FC Porto to win
Despite the favorite status given to Nottingham Forest (odds 2.30), recent performances argue for Porto. In 10 matches, Porto has 6 wins against only 2 for Forest. Porto is also very strong as a favorite (5 wins in 7 matches in this role). Forest, at home, has won only 20% of its recent matches. However, the home factor and Porto's high odds (3.18) indicate risk, hence low confidence. No information on major absences was found in the provided data.
3.2
Confidence
Low
Market signals on Nottingham Forest vs FC Porto
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Nottingham Forest vs FC Porto Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 4 4 | 6 3 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 60% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 67% |
Win by being a favorite | 20% | 71% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 60% | 67% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 20% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 20% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 70% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 70% 30% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 60% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 50% (5/10) | 20% (2/10) | Deniz Gul |
| Igor Jesus | 30% (3/10) | 20% (2/10) | Victor Froholdt |
| Chris Wood | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Alberto Costa |
| Elliot Anderson | 22% (2/9) | 10% (1/10) | Pepe |
| Neco Williams | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Seko Fofana |
| Morato | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Jan Bednarek |
| Taiwo Awoniyi | 17% (1/6) | 11% (1/9) | William Gomes |
11% (1/9) | Gabriel Veiga |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Gibbs-White | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Deniz Gul |
| Igor Jesus | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Victor Froholdt |
| Taiwo Awoniyi | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Alberto Costa |
| Chris Wood | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | William Gomes |
| Elliot Anderson | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Gabriel Veiga |
| Neco Williams | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Seko Fofana |
| Morato | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Pepe |
⚽1 | Jan Bednarek |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 60% | 60% |
2.5 | 10% | 60% |
3.5 | 10% | 40% |
4.5 | 0% | 30% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
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