Braga - Freiburg: our prediction
30/04/2026•21:00
Braga
2:1
(1:1)
Finished
Freiburg
-
1
-
X
-
2
Braga vs Freiburg Preview — Europa League Final Stage
Braga hosts Freiburg in the Europa League. Braga is the favorite (odds 2.4) but Freiburg has a good recent win rate (60%). Both teams have a strong tendency to score (BTTS 50% for Braga, 60% for Freiburg). The match promises to be tight and open.
Our Braga vs Freiburg predictions
Freiburg scores over 0.5 goals
Freiburg has scored in 80% of its last 10 matches (parou05). Braga has conceded in 60% of its matches (cleansheetno). Freiburg's attack is in form with players like Igor Matanovic (4 goals) and Maximilian Eggestein (3 goals). It is very likely that Freiburg will score at least one goal.
1.45
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals
Freiburg has a strong tendency for matches with over 2.5 goals (70% of its last 10 matches). Braga is at 50%. Combined with the tendency of both teams to score (BTTS), the scenario of a match with over 2.5 goals is very plausible. The attacks are in form and the defenses are weak.
2.38
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Braga has seen both teams score in 50% of its last 10 matches, and Freiburg in 60%. Both teams have in-form attackers (Ricardo Horta, Pau Victor for Braga; Maximilian Eggestein, Igor Matanovic for Freiburg). Defenses are leaky (Braga kept a clean sheet only 4 times in 10, Freiburg only 2 times). BTTS is a very likely bet.
1.96
Confidence
High
Market signals on Braga vs Freiburg
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Braga vs Freiburg Statistics
Win
Win | 5 2 3 | 6 1 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 86% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 57% | 75% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 67% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 33% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider | 33% | 50% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 60% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 20% |
2nd half | 30% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Victor | 67% (6/9) | 30% (3/10) | Igor Matanovic |
| Ricardo Horta | 29% (2/7) | 22% (2/9) | Johan Manzambi |
| Jean-Baptiste Gorby | 22% (2/9) | 20% (2/10) | Maximilian Eggestein |
| Mario Dorgeles | 22% (2/9) | 20% (1/5) | Yuito Suzuki |
| Rodrigo Zalazar | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Vincenzo Grifo |
| Fran Navarro | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Matthias Ginter |
| Demir Tiknaz | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Derry Scherhant |
| Gabri Martinez | 17% (1/6) | 10% (1/10) | Lukas Kuebler |
| Carvalho | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Philipp Lienhart |
10% (1/10) | Jan-Niklas Beste |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Victor | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Igor Matanovic |
| Mario Dorgeles | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Yuito Suzuki |
| Jean-Baptiste Gorby | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Maximilian Eggestein |
| Ricardo Horta | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Johan Manzambi |
| Fran Navarro | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Lukas Kuebler |
| Gabri Martinez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Philipp Lienhart |
| Carvalho | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Derry Scherhant |
| Rodrigo Zalazar | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jan-Niklas Beste |
| Demir Tiknaz | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Matthias Ginter |
⚽1 | Vincenzo Grifo |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 80% |
1.5 | 90% | 50% |
2.5 | 70% | 40% |
3.5 | 30% | 40% |
4.5 | 20% | 20% |
5.5 | 10% | 0% |
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