Freiburg - Braga: our prediction
07/05/2026•21:00
Freiburg
3:1
(2:0)
Finished
Braga
-
1
-
X
-
2
Freiburg vs Braga Preview — Europa League Final Stage
Freiburg, home favorite (odds 1.78), faces Braga in the Europa League. Statistics show a trend towards goals: both teams score in 70% of their recent matches, and over 2.5 goals are likely. Freiburg has a 50% win rate in their last 10 matches, while Braga is weak away (1 win in 10 away games).
Our Freiburg vs Braga predictions
Freiburg to win
Freiburg is the home favorite with odds of 1.78. They have won 5 of their last 10 matches (50%), while Braga has won only 1 of their last 10 away matches. Freiburg also has better overall form and plays at home, strengthening their favorite status.
1.75
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals
Freiburg has seen over 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 10 matches, and Braga in 50%. Combined with the trend of both teams scoring (70% BTS), the over 2.5 goals scenario is very likely. Both teams have leaky defenses.
1.94
Confidence
High
Both teams to score
Both teams have scored in 70% of their last 10 matches. Freiburg has a strong attack at home but often concedes goals (only 2 clean sheets in 10 matches). Braga, although weak away, has scored in 7 of their last 10 matches. The trend for goals on both sides is strong.
1.81
Confidence
High
Market signals on Freiburg vs Braga
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Freiburg vs Braga Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 2 3 | 5 3 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 67% | 57% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 57% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 43% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 43% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 70% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 50% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Johan Manzambi | 33% (3/9) | 44% (4/9) | Pau Victor |
| Lucas Hoeler | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Fran Navarro |
| Maximilian Eggestein | 20% (2/10) | 20% (2/10) | Mario Dorgeles |
| Vincenzo Grifo | 20% (2/10) | 25% (2/8) | Ricardo Horta |
| Yuito Suzuki | 13% (1/8) | 11% (1/9) | Jean-Baptiste Gorby |
| Lukas Kuebler | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Rodrigo Zalazar |
| Philipp Lienhart | 10% (1/10) | 20% (1/5) | Florian Grillitsch |
| Jan-Niklas Beste | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Demir Tiknaz |
| Igor Matanovic | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Carvalho |
| Matthias Ginter | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Johan Manzambi | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Pau Victor |
| Lucas Hoeler | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Fran Navarro |
| Maximilian Eggestein | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Mario Dorgeles |
| Yuito Suzuki | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Ricardo Horta |
| Vincenzo Grifo | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Jean-Baptiste Gorby |
| Lukas Kuebler | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Carvalho |
| Matthias Ginter | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Rodrigo Zalazar |
| Jan-Niklas Beste | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Florian Grillitsch |
| Igor Matanovic | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Demir Tiknaz |
| Philipp Lienhart | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 100% |
1.5 | 50% | 90% |
2.5 | 40% | 70% |
3.5 | 30% | 20% |
4.5 | 10% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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