Mainz 05 - Sigma Olomouc: our prediction
19/03/2026•18:45
Mainz 05
2:0
(0:0)
Finished
Sigma Olomouc
-
1
-
X
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2
Mainz 05 vs Sigma Olomouc Preview — Conference League Final Stage
Mainz 05, the home favorite, faces Sigma Olomouc in the Conference League. Recent statistics show a solid Mainz side at home, with an attack capable of scoring, but a sometimes leaky defense. Sigma Olomouc, away from home, has shown some ability to find the back of the net.
Our Mainz 05 vs Sigma Olomouc predictions
Mainz 05 to Win
Mainz 05 is clearly the bookmakers' favorite (odds at 1.33). In their last 10 matches, they have won 4 times, but most importantly, they have not lost any of the 5 matches where they were favored ('nepredpasfav' statistic: 5/5). At home, this solidity should be confirmed against a Sigma Olomouc side that has suffered 5 defeats in its last 10 matches. Mainz's defense is not perfect (only 3 clean sheets in 10), but their offensive superiority and home favorite status strongly favor them.
1.3
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals in the match
The 'over25' statistics indicate that this scenario has occurred in 5 of the last 10 matches for each team. Mainz's attack at home (parou15: 5/10) and Sigma Olomouc's ability to score away (parou05: 8/10) suggest a match with chances. The favored scenario of a Mainz win (2-1 or 3-1) directly validates this bet. The available odds and the offensive tendencies of both teams support this option.
1.86
Confidence
Medium
Both Teams to Score
Analysis of the last 10 matches shows that Mainz 05 conceded at least one goal in 7 of their last 10 matches (cleansheetno: 7/10). Sigma Olomouc scored in 8 of their last 10 matches (parou05: 8/10). Furthermore, the 'Both Teams to Score' bet has occurred 5 times in 10 for Mainz and 6 times in 10 for Sigma Olomouc. With a Mainz defense that is not always tight and a capable away attack, a goal from each side is a plausible scenario. This bet is compatible with a Mainz win.
2.4
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Mainz 05 vs Sigma Olomouc
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Mainz 05 vs Sigma Olomouc Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 3 3 | 5 3 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 75% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 60% | 67% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 40% | 71% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 20% | 43% |
Win by being an outsider | 20% | 43% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 60% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 40% |
2nd half | 40% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Tietz | 30% (3/10) | 33% (3/9) | Antonin Rusek |
| Sheraldo Becker | 25% (2/8) | 38% (3/8) | Vaclav Sejk |
| Nadiem Amiri | 25% (2/8) | 33% (3/9) | Danijel Sturm |
| Paul Nebel | 20% (2/10) | 22% (2/9) | Peter Barath |
| Kaishu Sano | 10% (1/10) | 25% (2/8) | Louis Lurvink |
| Dominik Kohr | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Michal Beran |
| Stefan Posch | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Dominik Janosek |
| Phillipp Mwene | 10% (1/10) | 10% (1/10) | Matej Mikulenka |
11% (1/9) | Fabijan Krivak |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Tietz | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Vaclav Sejk |
| Paul Nebel | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Danijel Sturm |
| Sheraldo Becker | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Antonin Rusek |
| Nadiem Amiri | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Louis Lurvink |
| Kaishu Sano | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Fabijan Krivak |
| Phillipp Mwene | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Peter Barath |
| Stefan Posch | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Michal Beran |
| Dominik Kohr | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Dominik Janosek |
⚽1 | Matej Mikulenka |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 80% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 100% |
1.5 | 60% | 70% |
2.5 | 40% | 40% |
3.5 | 20% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
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