Rugby

Tennis

Sparta Prague - AZ Alkmaar: our prediction

19/03/2026•21:00

Sparta Prague

0:4

(0:1)

Finished

AZ Alkmaar

Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar Preview — Conference League Final Stage

Sparta Prague hosts AZ Alkmaar in the Conference League. The Czechs are bookmakers' favorites (odds 2.2) and show solid home form (5W, 2D, 3L in last 10). AZ Alkmaar, strong away, has a formidable attack (9/10 matches with +1.5 goals). Statistics suggest an open match with goals.

Our Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar predictions

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Sparta Prague has seen +2.5 goals in 6 of its last 10 matches. AZ Alkmaar has recorded +2.5 goals in 7 of its last 10. Both teams have productive attacks (Sparta: 7/10 matches with +1.5 goals; AZ: 9/10). AZ Alkmaar's away defense is less solid (8/10 matches without a clean sheet). The most likely scenario is an open match with at least 3 goals.

1.62

Confidence

High

AZ Alkmaar scores at least one goal

AZ Alkmaar has scored at least one goal in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). The Dutch team has in-form attackers like Troy Parrott (4 goals) and Sven Mijnans (3 goals). Facing a Sparta Prague defense that has conceded in 5 of its last 10 home matches, AZ has a high chance of scoring.

1.22

Confidence

High

Both teams to score

Sparta Prague has seen both teams score in 4 of its last 10 matches. AZ Alkmaar has recorded this scenario in 6 of its last 10. AZ Alkmaar scores regularly away (8/10 matches with at least one goal). Sparta Prague, at home, has a defense that sometimes concedes (5 clean sheets in 10). The probability of each team finding the net is significant.

1.52

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Sparta Prague	AZ Alkmaar
Win	5 2 3	6 1 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	86%	88%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	33%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	50%
Win by being a favorite	71%	75%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	33%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	60% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	10%	20%
2nd half	60%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Jan Kuchta	30% (3/10)	40% (4/10)	Sven Mijnans
John Mercado	50% (3/6)	33% (3/9)	Troy Parrott
Lukas Haraslin	43% (3/7)	40% (2/5)	Peer Koopmeiners
Albion Rrahmani	20% (2/10)	20% (2/10)	Mexx Meerdink
Oliver Sonne	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Mateo Chavez
Asger Soerensen	10% (1/10)	13% (1/8)	Kees Smit
		14% (1/7)	Jordy Clasie
		11% (1/9)	Isak Steiner Jensen
		13% (1/8)	Mees de Wit
		11% (1/9)	Matej Sin

Total goals per player

	1	2
Jan Kuchta	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Sven Mijnans
John Mercado	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Troy Parrott
Lukas Haraslin	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Peer Koopmeiners
Albion Rrahmani	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Mexx Meerdink
Oliver Sonne	⚽1	⚽1	Matej Sin
Asger Soerensen	⚽1	⚽1	Mees de Wit
		⚽1	Isak Steiner Jensen
		⚽1	Kees Smit
		⚽1	Jordy Clasie
		⚽1	Mateo Chavez

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	70%	80%
Over corners 7.5	60%	70%
Over corners 8.5	40%	60%
Over corners 9.5	30%	40%
Over corners 10.5	20%	20%
Over corners 11.5	10%	10%
Over corners 12.5	10%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	60%	80%
Over corners 3.5	50%	80%
Over corners 4.5	30%	60%
Over corners 5.5	20%	40%
Over corners 6.5	0%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	90%
1.5	70%	60%
2.5	40%	30%
3.5	30%	0%
4.5	20%	0%
5.5	10%	0%

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