AEK Athens - NK Celje: our prediction
19/03/2026•18:45
AEK Athens
0:2
(0:2)
Finished
NK Celje
-
1
-
X
-
2
AEK Athens vs NK Celje Preview — Conference League Final Stage
AEK Athens, the home favorite, faces NK Celje in the Conference League. The Greeks show solid defense (7 clean sheets in 10) and effective attack (6 wins in 10). The Slovenians, less consistent away, have a more permeable defense but an attack capable of scoring.
Our AEK Athens vs NK Celje predictions
AEK Athens Victory
AEK Athens is clearly favored (odds 1.24). In their last 10 matches, they have won 6, drawn 4, and suffered no defeats. At home and with a solid defense (7 clean sheets in 10), they should control the match. NK Celje, less effective away (1 win in 10 matches as an outsider), will struggle to resist.
1.25
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 goals in the match
AEK's solid defense (7 clean sheets in 10) and their ability to control the game as the home favorite suggest a managed match. NK Celje scores regularly (8 Over 2.5 matches in 10), but against a rigorous Greek defense, chances could be limited. In AEK's last 10 matches, 4 have stayed under the 2.5 goal mark.
2.36
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on AEK Athens vs NK Celje
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
AEK Athens vs NK Celje Statistics
Win
Win | 6 4 | 5 1 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 63% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 60% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 67% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 50% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 70% 30% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 40% |
2nd half | 50% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aboubakary Koita | 30% (3/10) | 100% (5/5) | Nikita Iosifov |
| Zini | 20% (2/10) | 100% (3/3) | Svit Seslar |
| Luka Jovic | 22% (2/9) | 100% (3/3) | Rudi Vancas |
| Razvan Marin | 11% (1/9) | 100% (2/2) | Juanjo Nieto |
| Joao Mario | 14% (1/7) | 100% (2/2) | Armandas Kucys |
| Barnabas Varga | 10% (1/10) | 100% (2/2) | Milot Avdyli |
| Orbelin Pineda | 10% (1/10) | 100% (1/1) | Andrej Kotnik |
100% (1/1) | Mario Kvesic | ||
100% (1/1) | Zan Karnicnik | ||
100% (1/1) | Matej Poplatnik |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aboubakary Koita | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | Nikita Iosifov |
| Zini | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Svit Seslar |
| Luka Jovic | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Rudi Vancas |
| Barnabas Varga | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Milot Avdyli |
| Joao Mario | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Juanjo Nieto |
| Razvan Marin | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Andrej Kotnik |
| Orbelin Pineda | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Armandas Kucys |
⚽1 | Matej Poplatnik | ||
⚽1 | Zan Karnicnik | ||
⚽1 | Mario Kvesic |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 90% | 30% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 20% |
Over corners 4.5 | 70% | 10% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 100% | 30% |
1.5 | 90% | 30% |
2.5 | 60% | 20% |
3.5 | 20% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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