Crystal Palace - Rayo Vallecano: our prediction
27/05/2026•21:00
Crystal Palace
1:0
(0:0)
Finished
Rayo Vallecano
-
1
-
X
-
2
Crystal Palace vs Rayo Vallecano Preview — Conference League Final Stage
Crystal Palace, favorite at home, faces Rayo Vallecano in the Conference League final. Palace shows poor recent form (2 wins in 10), but a strong tendency for goals (Over 2.5 at 80%). Rayo Vallecano is in great form with 6 wins in 10 and a solid defense (5 clean sheets). Both teams have a high propensity to score, but Rayo seems more solid.
Our Crystal Palace vs Rayo Vallecano predictions
Over 2.5 goals in the match
Crystal Palace has seen over 2.5 goals in 80% of their last 10 matches, while Rayo Vallecano has a lower trend (30%). However, Palace's offensive trend and Rayo's ability to score (10/10 matches with at least one goal) suggest an open game. The odds (1.91) are attractive for this bet.
2.28
Confidence
High (65 %)
Both teams to score
Both teams have a high tendency to score. Crystal Palace has seen both teams score in 60% of their matches, and Rayo Vallecano in 50%. Furthermore, Palace has only kept a clean sheet once in 10 matches, while Rayo has conceded in 50% of their matches. Both attacks are in form, with key scorers like Sarr (5 goals) for Palace and Camello (5 goals) for Rayo.
2
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 1.5 goals for Rayo Vallecano
Although Rayo Vallecano often scores, they tend not to exceed 1.5 goals. In their last 10 matches, they scored under 1.5 goals in 60% of cases (indicator underparou15 at 6/10). Crystal Palace, despite a leaky defense, could limit Rayo to a single goal. This bet is complementary to 'Both teams to score' and 'Over 2.5', as it does not contradict a scenario where Rayo scores 1 goal.
1.25
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Crystal Palace vs Rayo Vallecano
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Crystal Palace vs Rayo Vallecano Statistics
Win
Win | 2 3 5 | 6 3 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 33% | 75% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 75% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 83% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 50% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 70% 30% | 50% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 20% |
2nd half | 20% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 90% 10% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ismaila Sarr | 40% (4/10) | 50% (5/10) | Sergio Camello |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 30% (3/10) | 50% (5/10) | Alexandre Zurawski |
| Daichi Kamada | 10% (1/10) | 22% (2/9) | Florian Lejeune |
| Adam Wharton | 10% (1/10) | 33% (2/6) | Randy Nteka |
| Joergen Strand Larsen | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Daniel Munoz | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ismaila Sarr | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Sergio Camello |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Alexandre Zurawski |
| Daichi Kamada | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Florian Lejeune |
| Daniel Munoz | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Randy Nteka |
| Adam Wharton | ⚽1 | ||
| Joergen Strand Larsen | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 70% | 100% |
1.5 | 70% | 80% |
2.5 | 30% | 60% |
3.5 | 0% | 30% |
4.5 | 0% | 30% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
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