Chad - Burundi: our prediction
27/03/2026•14:00
Chad
0:4
(0:2)
Finished
Burundi
-
1
-
X
-
2
Chad vs Burundi Preview — Africa Cup of Nations Qualification Preliminary Round
Chad faces Burundi in the 2026 Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers. Burundi is the slight bookmakers' favorite, but both teams show mixed form with offensive difficulties. Chad plays at home but hasn't won any of its last 10 matches.
Our Chad vs Burundi predictions
Burundi scores under 0.5 goals
Burundi has shown extreme difficulty in scoring: in its last 10 matches, the team failed to score in 80% of cases (8/10). They scored only 3 goals total during this period. Away from home, their attack is even more limited. Facing a Chad defense that has conceded regularly but can be organized at home, it is very likely that Burundi will not score.
1.8
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics from the last 10 matches show that Burundi has had under 2.5 goals in 90% of its matches (9/10), while Chad has done so in 40% of cases. Both teams have unproductive attacks: Burundi has scored only 3 times in 10 matches, Chad 7 times. With relatively solid defenses (Burundi kept 3 clean sheets), a low-scoring match is likely.
1.5
Confidence
High
Draw
Chad hasn't won any of its last 10 matches (0 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses) while Burundi has a low performance with only 2 wins in 10 matches. Both teams have ineffective attacks. Chad at home could show defensive solidity to seek a point, while Burundi, slight favorite but unconvincing offensively, might struggle to convert. A draw appears as a realistic scenario.
2.8
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Chad vs Burundi
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Chad vs Burundi Statistics
Win
Win | 3 7 | 2 1 7 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 0% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 25% | 17% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 13% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 13% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 40% |
2nd half | 40% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Celestin Ecua | 67% (2/3) | 20% (1/5) | Jean-Claude Girumugisha |
| Marius Mouandilmadji | 100% (2/2) | 50% (1/2) | Bonfils-Caleb Bimenyimana |
| Yves Allarabaye | 25% (1/4) | 20% (1/5) | Christophe Nduwarugira |
| Mahamat Thiam | 25% (1/4) | 20% (1/5) | Bienvenue Kanakimana |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Marius Mouandilmadji | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Bonfils-Caleb Bimenyimana |
| Celestin Ecua | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Jean-Claude Girumugisha |
| Mahamat Thiam | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Christophe Nduwarugira |
| Yves Allarabaye | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Bienvenue Kanakimana |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 88% | 50% |
Over corners 7.5 | 63% | 50% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 38% |
Over corners 10.5 | 25% | 25% |
Over corners 11.5 | 25% | 13% |
Over corners 12.5 | 25% | 13% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 3.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 4.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 30% | 40% |
1.5 | 20% | 20% |
2.5 | 20% | 10% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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