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Somalia - Mauritius: our prediction

27/03/2026•14:00

Somalia

0:0

(0:0)

Finished

Mauritius

Somalia vs Mauritius Preview — Africa Cup of Nations Qualification Preliminary Round

Somalia hosts Mauritius in the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers. Both teams are struggling, with very poor form. Somalia, a slight favorite at home, has a win rate of only 10% in their last 10 matches. Mauritius, away, has won only once in their last 10 matches. Statistics suggest a low-scoring match, with ineffective attacks and leaky defenses.

Our Somalia vs Mauritius predictions

Somalia - Under 1.5 goals

Somalia has scored under 1.5 goals in 90% of its last 10 matches (9/10). Its attack is extremely weak, with only 10% of its matches where it scored over 1.5 goals. Facing a Mauritius defense that is not solid but does not concede heavily (80% of matches with under 1.5 goals conceded per team), it is very likely that Somalia scores at most 1 goal.

1.2

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Statistics from the last 10 matches show that Somalia saw under 2.5 goals in 40% of its matches, while Mauritius did so in 70% of its matches. Both teams have unprolific attacks (Somalia: 20% of matches with over 1.5 goals per team; Mauritius: 20%). Defenses are often breached, but overall offensive ineffectiveness should limit the total number of goals.

1.35

Confidence

High

Draw

Neither team is in form. Somalia has a draw rate of 10% at home, Mauritius 30% away in the last 10 matches. The odds reflect a tight match (Somalia fav 2.15, Draw 3.00). Given the low offensive efficiency on both sides (Somalia: 20% of matches with both teams scoring; Mauritius: 30%), a low-scoring draw is a plausible scenario. The absence of information on major injuries reinforces the idea of a balanced but low-quality match.

2.8

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Somalia vs Mauritius

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Somalia vs Mauritius Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Somalia	Mauritius
Win	1 1 8	1 3 6
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	0%
Win by being a favorite	0%	0%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	25%	40%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	10%	10%
Win by being an outsider	10%	10%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	20% 80%	30% 20%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	10% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 50%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	20%
2nd half	30%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
		17% (1/6)	Yannick Aristide
		20% (1/5)	Emmanuel Vincent
		25% (1/4)	William Francois
		17% (1/6)	Lindsay Rose

Total goals per player

	1	2
		⚽1	Emmanuel Vincent
		⚽1	William Francois
		⚽1	Yannick Aristide
		⚽1	Lindsay Rose

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	88%	75%
Over corners 7.5	75%	25%
Over corners 8.5	75%	25%
Over corners 9.5	75%	13%
Over corners 10.5	75%	0%
Over corners 11.5	38%	0%
Over corners 12.5	25%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	40%	30%
Over corners 3.5	20%	20%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	50%	40%
1.5	20%	30%
2.5	0%	0%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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