Rugby

Tennis

Ethiopia - Sao Tome and Principe: our prediction

31/03/2026•15:00

Ethiopia

1:0

(1:0)

Finished

Sao Tome and Principe

Ethiopia vs Sao Tome and Principe Preview — Africa Cup of Nations Qualification Preliminary Round

Ethiopia, the home favorite, faces Sao Tome and Principe, a struggling outsider. Recent statistics show an Ethiopian team more effective in attack but defensively fragile, while the visitors struggle to win and score regularly.

Our Ethiopia vs Sao Tome and Principe predictions

Ethiopia Win

Ethiopia is clearly favored (odds 1.44). In the last 10 matches, they have won 4 times (40%), while Sao Tome and Principe have only won once (10%). At home, Ethiopia has a significant advantage. The team has scored at least one goal in 9 of their last 10 matches (Over 1.5 goals per match at 90%). Sao Tome and Principe, on the other hand, have lost 8 of their last 10 matches and struggle to score (Under 1.5 goals per team at 90%). No information on major absences was found for either team.

1.33

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Ethiopia has seen under 2.5 goals in 5 of its last 10 matches (50%). Sao Tome and Principe have recorded under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 10 matches (40%). Sao Tome and Principe's weak attack (Under 1.5 goals per team at 90%) and Ethiopia's relatively solid defense at home (2 clean sheets out of 10) suggest a potentially low-scoring match. Ethiopia's expected win could come with a modest scoreline (e.g., 2-0, 1-0).

1.67

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Ethiopia vs Sao Tome and Principe

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Ethiopia vs Sao Tome and Principe Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Ethiopia	Sao Tome and Principe
Win	4 6	1 1 8
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	0%
Win by being a favorite	100%	0%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	33%	20%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	29%	10%
Win by being an outsider	29%	10%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	30% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	20% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	70% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	60% 30%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	30%
2nd half	40%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Ramkel James	17% (1/6)	25% (2/8)	Ronaldo Lumungo
Bereket Desta	17% (1/6)	25% (1/4)	Luis Costa
Abubeker Nasir	50% (1/2)	50% (1/2)	Denilson Silva
Biniam Ayten	50% (1/2)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Abubeker Nasir	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Ronaldo Lumungo
Bereket Desta	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Denilson Silva
Biniam Ayten	⚽1	⚽1	Luis Costa
Ramkel James	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	63%	63%
Over corners 7.5	50%	63%
Over corners 8.5	38%	63%
Over corners 9.5	13%	63%
Over corners 10.5	13%	50%
Over corners 11.5	13%	50%
Over corners 12.5	0%	25%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	20%	30%
Over corners 3.5	0%	20%
Over corners 4.5	0%	10%
Over corners 5.5	0%	10%
Over corners 6.5	0%	10%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	30%	40%
1.5	20%	20%
2.5	0%	0%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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