Hartberg - Sturm Graz: our prediction
10/05/2026•17:00
Hartberg
2:4
(1:3)
Finished
Sturm Graz
-
1
-
X
-
2
Hartberg vs Sturm Graz Preview — Bundesliga Championship Group
Sturm Graz, the logical favorite, travels to Hartberg. The visitors are undefeated in their last 10 matches (3 wins, 7 draws) and have a solid defense. Hartberg struggles at home, with only one win in their last 10 home games. Both teams score few goals, and Sturm Graz's matches are often under 2.5 goals.
Our Hartberg vs Sturm Graz predictions
Under 2.5 goals
Sturm Graz has seen 9 of their last 10 matches end with under 2.5 goals. Hartberg, on their part, has had the same outcome in 7 of their last 10 matches. Both teams struggle to score, and the match promises to be tight.
1.96
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 1.5 goals for Hartberg
Hartberg has scored only one goal in their last 10 home matches. Sturm Graz has a solid defense, rarely conceding. It is very likely that Hartberg will not exceed the 1.5 goal mark.
1.73
Confidence
High (65 %)
Draw
Sturm Graz has drawn 7 of their last 10 matches, while Hartberg has shared the points 5 times in the same period. The draw trend is strong for both teams, especially in a match where goals could be scarce.
3.6
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Hartberg vs Sturm Graz
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Hartberg vs Sturm Graz Statistics
Win
Win | 1 5 4 | 3 7 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 0% | 25% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 56% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 11% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 11% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 70% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 20% |
2nd half | 40% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Havel | 38% (3/8) | 33% (3/9) | Otar Kiteishvili |
| Luca Pazourek | 20% (2/10) | 22% (2/9) | Albert Vallci |
| Lukas Spendlhofer | 14% (1/7) | 13% (1/8) | Axel Kayombo |
| Damjan Kovacevic | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Gizo Mamageishvili |
| Lukas Fridrikas | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Seedy Jatta |
| Marco Hoffmann | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Paul-Friedrich Koller |
| Juergen Heil | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Stefan Hierlaender |
| Fabian Wilfinger | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Jon Gorenc-Stankovic |
11% (1/9) | Luca Weinhandl |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Havel | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Otar Kiteishvili |
| Luca Pazourek | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Albert Vallci |
| Damjan Kovacevic | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jon Gorenc-Stankovic |
| Lukas Spendlhofer | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Axel Kayombo |
| Lukas Fridrikas | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Seedy Jatta |
| Fabian Wilfinger | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Luca Weinhandl |
| Juergen Heil | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Stefan Hierlaender |
| Marco Hoffmann | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Paul-Friedrich Koller |
⚽1 | Gizo Mamageishvili |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 90% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 40% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 30% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 70% | 90% |
1.5 | 50% | 70% |
2.5 | 20% | 50% |
3.5 | 10% | 10% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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