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Manchester City - Liverpool: our prediction

04/04/2026•13:45

Manchester City

4:0

(2:0)

Finished

Liverpool

Manchester City vs Liverpool Preview — FA Cup

Manchester City faces Liverpool in the FA Cup. City, the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.75), shows solid home form (6 wins in last 10 matches). Liverpool, away, has a performing attack but a less reliable defense on the road. Historical statistics suggest an open match with goals.

Our Manchester City vs Liverpool predictions

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Manchester City has seen over 2.5 goals in 60% of its last 10 matches (6/10). Liverpool also in 60% of its last 10 (6/10). Both teams have quality attacks (Haaland, Salah) and defenses that can concede, especially Liverpool away. The 'Both teams to score' bet is at 50% for each team over the last 10, strengthening the probability of a multi-goal match.

1.44

Confidence

High

Manchester City to win

Manchester City is the favorite (odds 1.75) and plays at home. Over the last 10 matches, City won 60% of the time (6/10), lost only 20% (2/10), and drew 2 times. Liverpool, away, won 60% of its last 10 (6/10) but lost 30% (3/10). City has a good habit of confirming its favorite status (does not lose when favorite in 7/9 cases). Home advantage and recent form support a City win.

1.73

Confidence

High

Both teams to score

Over the last 10 matches, Manchester City has scored in 90% of cases (9/10 for +0.5 goals/team) and Liverpool also in 90%. However, the strict 'Both Teams to Score' is verified in only 50% of cases for each team (5/10). City kept a clean sheet in 40% of cases (4/10), Liverpool also in 40%. Given the offensive power of both teams, it is likely that each will find the back of the net, even if recent statistics are not overwhelming.

1.44

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Manchester City vs Liverpool

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Manchester City vs Liverpool Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Manchester City	Liverpool
Win	6 2 2	6 1 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	78%	70%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	50%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	50%
Win by being a favorite	56%	60%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	100%	0%
Win by being an outsider	100%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	50% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	60%	20%
2nd half	20%	70%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Erling Haaland	56% (5/9)	20% (2/10)	Virgil van Dijk
Jeremy Doku	40% (4/10)	25% (2/8)	Mohamed Salah
Antoine Semenyo	33% (3/9)	13% (1/8)	Alexander Isak
Omar Marmoush	20% (2/10)	10% (1/10)	Ryan Gravenberch
Savinho	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Rio Ngumoha
Rayan Cherki	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Dominik Szoboszlai
Nico O'Reilly	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Andrew Robertson
Marc Guehi	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Cody Gakpo
Nico Gonzalez	14% (1/7)	10% (1/10)	Curtis Jones
		10% (1/10)	Florian Wirtz

Total goals per player

	1	2
Erling Haaland	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽3	Virgil van Dijk
Jeremy Doku	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽2	Mohamed Salah
Antoine Semenyo	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Rio Ngumoha
Omar Marmoush	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Andrew Robertson
Rayan Cherki	⚽1	⚽1	Dominik Szoboszlai
Savinho	⚽1	⚽1	Curtis Jones
Marc Guehi	⚽1	⚽1	Alexander Isak
Nico Gonzalez	⚽1	⚽1	Ryan Gravenberch
Nico O'Reilly	⚽1	⚽1	Florian Wirtz
		⚽1	Cody Gakpo

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	100%
Over corners 7.5	80%	90%
Over corners 8.5	60%	80%
Over corners 9.5	60%	70%
Over corners 10.5	50%	70%
Over corners 11.5	40%	50%
Over corners 12.5	30%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	100%	90%
Over corners 3.5	80%	80%
Over corners 4.5	70%	70%
Over corners 5.5	60%	60%
Over corners 6.5	50%	50%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	50%
1.5	70%	30%
2.5	20%	20%
3.5	10%	20%
4.5	0%	10%
5.5	0%	0%

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