Nueve de Octubre - El Nacional: our prediction
17/05/2026•22:30
Nueve de Octubre
3:1
(2:1)
Finished
El Nacional
-
1
-
X
-
2
Nueve de Octubre vs El Nacional Preview — Serie B
Nueve de Octubre, favorite, faces El Nacional in Serie B. Statistics show a clear dominance of the home team with 70% wins in their last 10 matches, while El Nacional has not won any of their last 10. Nueve de Octubre also has a solid defense with 60% clean sheets, whereas El Nacional has conceded goals in all recent matches. The odds (1.41 for Nueve de Octubre) confirm this trend.
Our Nueve de Octubre vs El Nacional predictions
Under 2.5 Goals in the Match
This bet is consistent with the previous two. Nueve de Octubre tends to play tight matches at home (7 out of 10 matches under 2.5 goals). Combined with El Nacional's offensive weakness (which has not scored more than 1.5 goals in their last 10 matches), the scenario of a match with under 2.5 goals is very likely. Nueve de Octubre's defense is solid and should contain the rare opposing attacks.
1.84
Confidence
High (65 %)
El Nacional - Under 1.5 Goals
El Nacional has a very low offensive capacity, having not scored more than 1.5 goals in their last 10 matches (100% success rate for this bet). The team is in crisis and struggles to create chances. Facing a Nueve de Octubre defense that kept a clean sheet 6 times in their last 10 matches, it is very likely that El Nacional will not score or will score very little.
1.25
Confidence
High (65 %)
Nueve de Octubre to Win
Nueve de Octubre is in great form at home with 7 wins in their last 10 matches (70% success rate). On the other hand, El Nacional has not won any of their last 10 matches. The odds of 1.41 for a Nueve de Octubre win are very attractive and reflect the difference in level between the two teams. Nueve de Octubre's attack is effective and their defense solid, while El Nacional is in a deep crisis of results.
1.4
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Nueve de Octubre vs El Nacional
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Nueve de Octubre vs El Nacional Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 7 1 2 | 3 7 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 83% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 60% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 71% | 0% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 67% | 13% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 33% | 11% |
Win by being an outsider | 33% | 11% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 60% 40% | 100% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 50% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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