CSD Macara - Alianza Atletico: our prediction
22/05/2026•04:00
CSD Macara
0:0
(0:0)
Finished
Alianza Atletico
-
1
-
X
-
2
CSD Macara vs Alianza Atletico Preview — Copa Sudamericana Grp. A
CSD Macara, favorite at home, faces Alianza Atletico in the Copa Sudamericana. Macara has won 5 of their last 10 matches, while Alianza has won only one away. Both teams tend to score, but Macara is more solid defensively.
Our CSD Macara vs Alianza Atletico predictions
Under 2.5 goals for Alianza Atletico
Alianza Atletico has scored more than 2.5 goals in only 1 of their last 10 matches (10%). Furthermore, they have scored only one goal away in their last 10 away games. Against a Macara defense that kept a clean sheet in 40% of matches, it is very likely that Alianza will not exceed 2.5 goals.
1.5
Confidence
Very high
Under 3.5 goals in the match
In Macara's last 10 matches, 7 had under 3.5 goals (70%). For Alianza, it's 9 out of 10 matches (90%). Both teams thus have a strong tendency to play low-scoring games. Combined with Macara's defensive solidity and Alianza's offensive weakness away, this match should stay under 3.5 goals.
1.3
Confidence
High
CSD Macara to win
CSD Macara is the clear favorite with odds of 1.45. In their last 10 matches, they have won 5 times (50% win rate), while Alianza Atletico has won only one away match in the same period. Macara plays at home, strengthening their advantage. Their attack is more effective and their defense more solid, as shown by their 40% clean sheet rate compared to Alianza's 10%.
1.32
Confidence
High
Market signals on CSD Macara vs Alianza Atletico
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
CSD Macara vs Alianza Atletico Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 1 4 | 3 1 6 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 80% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 60% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 60% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 40% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 40% | 17% |
Win by being an outsider | 40% | 17% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 40% 60% | 50% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 30% |
2nd half | 70% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 70% 30% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Posse | 50% (2/4) | 67% (2/3) | Cristian Penilla |
| Martin Tello | 25% (1/4) | 33% (1/3) | Ariel Munoz |
| Jose Luis Marrufo | 25% (1/4) | 25% (1/4) | Valentin Robaldo |
| Matias Miranda | 25% (1/4) | 100% (1/1) | Guillermo Larios |
| Jairo Jimenez | 25% (1/4) | 25% (1/4) | Hernan Lupu |
| Tommy Chamba | 25% (1/4) | 25% (1/4) | Cristhian Valladolid |
| Federico Paz | 50% (1/2) | 25% (1/4) | Jorge del Castillo |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Posse | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Cristian Penilla |
| Tommy Chamba | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Valentin Robaldo |
| Jose Luis Marrufo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Guillermo Larios |
| Matias Miranda | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jorge del Castillo |
| Jairo Jimenez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ariel Munoz |
| Martin Tello | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Hernan Lupu |
| Federico Paz | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Cristhian Valladolid |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 75% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 75% | 75% |
Over corners 8.5 | 75% | 75% |
Over corners 9.5 | 75% | 25% |
Over corners 10.5 | 50% | 25% |
Over corners 11.5 | 50% | 25% |
Over corners 12.5 | 50% | 25% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 3.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 30% | 40% |
1.5 | 30% | 40% |
2.5 | 20% | 40% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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