Rugby

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Estudiantes - Independiente Medellin: our prediction

27/05/2026•02:30

Estudiantes

1:0

(0:0)

Finished

Independiente Medellin

Estudiantes vs Independiente Medellin Preview — Copa Libertadores Grp. A

Estudiantes, favorite at home, faces Independiente Medellin in the Copa Libertadores. Statistics show a trend of low scores for Estudiantes, while Medellin is defensively solid away.

Our Estudiantes vs Independiente Medellin predictions

Under 1.5 goals for Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin has scored under 1.5 goals in 80% of their last 10 matches. Combined with Estudiantes' solid home defense (30% clean sheets), it is highly likely that Medellin will not score more than one goal.

1.61

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Under 2.5 goals

Statistics show a strong trend towards low scores. Estudiantes has seen under 2.5 goals in 80% of their last 10 matches, and Independiente Medellin in 70%. Furthermore, Estudiantes kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches. A tight match is expected.

1.6

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Estudiantes to win

Estudiantes play at home and are favorites with odds of 1.61. Their win rate is 40% in the last 10 matches, but they have only lost 2 times. Independiente Medellin has a low away win rate (10% in 10 matches). The odds and overall form favor Estudiantes.

1.68

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Estudiantes vs Independiente Medellin

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Estudiantes vs Independiente Medellin Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Estudiantes	Independiente Medellin
Win	4 4 2	6 2 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	83%	86%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	75%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	40%	50%
Win by being a favorite	50%	71%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	75%	67%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	25%	33%
Win by being an outsider	25%	33%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	60% 40%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	40% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	60% 40%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	20% 80%	60% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	50% 50%	70% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	10% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	10% 90%	30% 60%
Leading at half-time	10% 90%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	10%	50%
2nd half	50%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Mikel Amondarain	20% (2/10)	75% (3/4)	Francisco Fydriszewski
Tiago Palacios	25% (2/8)	50% (1/2)	Diego Moreno
Guido Carrillo	10% (1/10)	25% (1/4)	Baldomero Perlaza
Lucas Alario	10% (1/10)	25% (1/4)	Alexis Serna
Brian Aguirre	10% (1/10)	25% (1/4)	Yony Gonzalez
Facundo Farias	10% (1/10)
Alexis Castro	10% (1/10)
Fabricio Perez	10% (1/10)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Mikel Amondarain	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Francisco Fydriszewski
Tiago Palacios	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Diego Moreno
Facundo Farias	⚽1	⚽1	Alexis Serna
Lucas Alario	⚽1	⚽1	Yony Gonzalez
Brian Aguirre	⚽1	⚽1	Baldomero Perlaza
Alexis Castro	⚽1
Fabricio Perez	⚽1
Guido Carrillo	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	60%	60%
Over corners 7.5	50%	40%
Over corners 8.5	30%	20%
Over corners 9.5	20%	20%
Over corners 10.5	0%	20%
Over corners 11.5	0%	20%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	60%	20%
Over corners 3.5	50%	10%
Over corners 4.5	30%	10%
Over corners 5.5	20%	10%
Over corners 6.5	10%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	30%
1.5	80%	30%
2.5	60%	30%
3.5	50%	0%
4.5	30%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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