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Esperance - Mamelodi Sundowns FC: our prediction

12/04/2026•21:00

Esperance

0:1

(0:0)

Finished

Mamelodi Sundowns FC

Esperance vs Mamelodi Sundowns FC Preview — CAF Champions League Final Stage

Esperance hosts Mamelodi Sundowns FC in the CAF Champions League. Esperance is favored by bookmakers with odds at 1.91. In their last 10 matches, Esperance has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat (70% success rate). Mamelodi Sundowns FC, away from home, has won 0 of its last 10 away matches. Recent statistics show a low frequency of matches where both teams score (20% for Esperance, 40% for Sundowns) and a tendency towards matches with fewer than 2.5 goals.

Our Esperance vs Mamelodi Sundowns FC predictions

Esperance Win

Esperance is clearly favored at home (odds 1.91). In the last 10 matches, they have recorded 7 wins (70% success rate) and a solid defense (7 clean sheets). Mamelodi Sundowns FC is struggling away from home (0 wins in the last 10 away matches). Esperance's defensive trend and Sundowns' poor offensive performance away support this bet.

1.91

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Goals

Statistics from the last 10 matches show a strong trend towards low-scoring matches. For Esperance, 7/10 matches ended with under 2.5 goals (70%). For Mamelodi Sundowns FC, it's 5/10 (50%). Furthermore, 'Both Teams to Score' is rare (20% for Esperance, 40% for Sundowns). Esperance's solid defense (7 clean sheets) and Sundowns' offensive difficulties away reinforce this probability.

1.4

Confidence

High

Market signals on Esperance vs Mamelodi Sundowns FC

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Esperance vs Mamelodi Sundowns FC Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Esperance	Mamelodi Sundowns FC
Win	7 2 1	8 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	89%	89%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	0%
Win by being a favorite	67%	89%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	100%	0%
Win by being an outsider	100%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	70% 30%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	20% 80%	40% 20%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	50% 50%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	10% 90%	40% 60%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	40%
2nd half	60%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
		80% (4/5)	Brayan Leon
		29% (2/7)	Tashreeq Matthews
		29% (2/7)	Teboho Mokoena
		14% (1/7)	Iqraam Rayners
		25% (1/4)	Nuno Santos
		14% (1/7)	Aubrey Maphosa Modiba
		14% (1/7)	Marcelo Allende
		14% (1/7)	Tsiki Ntsabeleng

Total goals per player

	1	2
Florian Danho	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8	Brayan Leon
Kouceila Boualia	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Tashreeq Matthews
Mohamed Tougai	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Teboho Mokoena
Yassine Meriah	⚽1	⚽1	Marcelo Allende
Hamza Rafia	⚽1	⚽1	Bennet Mokoena
Hamza Jelassi	⚽1	⚽1	Nuno Santos
		⚽1	Aubrey Maphosa Modiba
		⚽1	Tsiki Ntsabeleng
		⚽1	Iqraam Rayners

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	60%
Over corners 7.5	0%	30%
Over corners 8.5	0%	10%
Over corners 9.5	0%	10%
Over corners 10.5	0%	10%
Over corners 11.5	0%	10%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	50%
Over corners 3.5	0%	50%
Over corners 4.5	0%	30%
Over corners 5.5	0%	20%
Over corners 6.5	0%	10%

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