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Mamelodi Sundowns FC - Esperance: our prediction

18/04/2026•15:00

Mamelodi Sundowns FC

1:0

(1:0)

Finished

Esperance

Mamelodi Sundowns FC vs Esperance Preview — CAF Champions League Final Stage

Mamelodi Sundowns FC hosts Espérance in the CAF Champions League. The Sundowns are bookmakers' favorites with odds at 1.91, showing excellent form with 9 wins in their last 10 matches. Espérance, away from home, has won 7 of its last 10 matches. Statistics suggest a potentially tight match with a solid defense from Espérance.

Our Mamelodi Sundowns FC vs Esperance predictions

Under 2.5 goals in the match

The defensive statistics of both teams support this bet. Mamelodi Sundowns FC saw under 2.5 goals in 5 of its last 10 matches (50%). Espérance is even more defensive, with under 2.5 goals in 7 of its last 10 matches (70%). Furthermore, only 40% of Sundowns' matches and 20% of Espérance's matches saw both teams score (BTS). This indicates a potentially low-scoring match, with dominant defenses.

1.43

Confidence

High

Mamelodi Sundowns FC Victory

Mamelodi Sundowns FC is in excellent form with 9 wins in their last 10 matches (90% success rate). At home, they are bookmakers' favorites (odds 1.91) and have a strong tendency to win when favored (8 wins in 8 matches). Espérance, although solid (7 wins/10), plays away and has a very performing defense (7 clean sheets/10). However, the home advantage and the Sundowns' form are decisive. No information on major absences was found.

1.85

Confidence

High

Market signals on Mamelodi Sundowns FC vs Esperance

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Mamelodi Sundowns FC vs Esperance Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Mamelodi Sundowns FC	Esperance
Win	9 1	7 2 1
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	89%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	50%
Win by being a favorite	100%	67%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	50%	100%
Win by being an outsider	50%	100%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	70% 30%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	20% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	10% 90%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	30%
2nd half	60%	60%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Brayan Leon	80% (4/5)
Teboho Mokoena	29% (2/7)
Tashreeq Matthews	29% (2/7)
Nuno Santos	25% (1/4)
Marcelo Allende	14% (1/7)
Aubrey Maphosa Modiba	14% (1/7)
Tsiki Ntsabeleng	14% (1/7)
Iqraam Rayners	14% (1/7)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Brayan Leon	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8	⚽⚽2	Florian Danho
Tashreeq Matthews	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Kouceila Boualia
Teboho Mokoena	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Hamza Rafia
Nuno Santos	⚽1	⚽1	Hamza Jelassi
Aubrey Maphosa Modiba	⚽1	⚽1	Mohamed Tougai
Tsiki Ntsabeleng	⚽1	⚽1	Yassine Meriah
Iqraam Rayners	⚽1
Marcelo Allende	⚽1
Bennet Mokoena	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	60%	0%
Over corners 7.5	30%	0%
Over corners 8.5	10%	0%
Over corners 9.5	10%	0%
Over corners 10.5	10%	0%
Over corners 11.5	10%	0%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	50%	0%
Over corners 3.5	50%	0%
Over corners 4.5	30%	0%
Over corners 5.5	20%	0%
Over corners 6.5	10%	0%

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