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AEK Athens - Olympiacos: our prediction

17/05/2026•18:30

AEK Athens

1:1

(0:1)

Finished

Olympiacos

AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Preview — Super League Championship Group

Top match in the Greek Super League between AEK Athens and Olympiacos. Olympiacos is the favorite with odds of 2.25, but AEK plays at home. Statistics show a tendency for tight matches, with a probability of under 2.5 goals.

Our AEK Athens vs Olympiacos predictions

Under 2.5 goals

Both teams have shown a tendency to play tight matches. AEK Athens has seen under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 10 matches, while Olympiacos has seen under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 matches. The odds of 2.25 for Olympiacos suggest a balanced match, reinforcing the idea of a low score. AEK at home is defensively solid.

1.8

Confidence

High (65 %)

Under 1.5 goals for Olympiacos

Olympiacos has scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 matches. AEK Athens at home has a good defense, keeping a clean sheet in 4 of their last 10 matches. Combined with the overall trend of low scores, it is likely that Olympiacos will not score more than one goal.

1.7

Confidence

High (65 %)

Draw

Statistics show that AEK Athens has drawn 3 times and Olympiacos 4 times in their respective last 10 matches. The odds of 3.10 for a draw are attractive. The trend of tight matches and the difficulty of playing away for Olympiacos (only 40% away wins) make a draw very plausible.

3.11

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Market signals on AEK Athens vs Olympiacos

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	AEK Athens	Olympiacos
Win	5 3 2	4 4 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	86%	78%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	33%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	67%	50%
Win by being a favorite	57%	44%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	67%	100%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	33%	0%
Win by being an outsider	33%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	60% 40%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	30% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	30%
2nd half	40%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Aboubakary Koita	30% (3/10)	40% (4/10)	Rodinei
Zini	20% (2/10)	30% (3/10)	Ayoub El Kaabi
Luka Jovic	22% (2/9)	10% (1/10)	Gelson Martins
Joao Mario	14% (1/7)	10% (1/10)	Christos Mouzakitis
Barnabas Varga	10% (1/10)
Orbelin Pineda	10% (1/10)
Razvan Marin	11% (1/9)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Aboubakary Koita	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Ayoub El Kaabi
Zini	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Rodinei
Luka Jovic	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Christos Mouzakitis
Barnabas Varga	⚽1	⚽1	Gelson Martins
Joao Mario	⚽1
Razvan Marin	⚽1
Orbelin Pineda	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	50%
Over corners 7.5	100%	50%
Over corners 8.5	70%	40%
Over corners 9.5	30%	30%
Over corners 10.5	20%	10%
Over corners 11.5	20%	10%
Over corners 12.5	10%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	100%	80%
Over corners 3.5	80%	80%
Over corners 4.5	80%	80%
Over corners 5.5	70%	30%
Over corners 6.5	60%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	90%
1.5	60%	30%
2.5	30%	10%
3.5	30%	0%
4.5	10%	0%
5.5	10%	0%

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