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Pafos FC - AEK Larnaca: our prediction

18/04/2026

Pafos FC

17:00

AEK Larnaca

Pafos FC vs AEK Larnaca Preview — Cyprus League Relegation Playoff

Pafos FC hosts AEK Larnaca in a Cyprus relegation playoff match. Pafos, at home, shows more solid form with 5 wins in the last 10 matches, compared to 3 for Larnaca. Statistics suggest a tight match with few goals, with Pafos having a slight offensive and defensive advantage.

Our Pafos FC vs AEK Larnaca predictions

AEK Larnaca - Under 1.5 Goals

AEK Larnaca has scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of its last 10 matches. Its attack is inefficient away from home (only 2 matches with over 1.5 goals per team). Facing a Pafos defense that kept a clean sheet 5 times out of 10, Larnaca will struggle to score more than one goal. No major offensive absences change this assessment.

1.4

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Goals

The defensive statistics of both teams are solid: Pafos conceded 0 goals in 5 of its last 10 matches, Larnaca in 4. Moreover, 8 of Larnaca's last 10 matches ended with under 2.5 goals, and 5 for Pafos. The attacks are not very prolific (Pafos: 4 matches with over 1.5 goals per team; Larnaca: 2). A tight and low-scoring match is likely.

1.6

Confidence

High

Pafos FC Win

Pafos FC, at home, has won 5 of its last 10 matches, compared to only 3 for AEK Larnaca away. The local team has a better defense (5 clean sheets vs. 4) and a more efficient attack (8 matches with over 1.5 goals vs. 7). No major absences reported. Recent form and home advantage favor Pafos.

2.1

Confidence

High

Market signals on Pafos FC vs AEK Larnaca

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Pafos FC vs AEK Larnaca Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Pafos FC	AEK Larnaca
Win	5 3 2	3 4 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	89%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	50%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	33%	50%
Win by being a favorite	56%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	75%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	40% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	10% 90%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	60%	30%
2nd half	20%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Jaja	43% (3/7)	40% (4/10)	Riad Bajic
Lele	25% (2/8)	40% (4/10)	Hrvoje Milicevic
Vlad Dragomir	25% (2/8)	10% (1/10)	Angel Garcia
Pepe	29% (2/7)	11% (1/9)	Robert Mudrazija
Nikolas Ioannou	25% (2/8)	10% (1/10)	Alex Cardero
Derrick Luckassen	14% (1/7)
Joao Correia	20% (1/5)
David Luiz	20% (1/5)
Wilmer Odefalk	13% (1/8)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Jaja	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Riad Bajic
Nikolas Ioannou	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Hrvoje Milicevic
Derrick Luckassen	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Angel Garcia
Lele	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Alex Cardero
Pepe	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Robert Mudrazija
Vlad Dragomir	⚽⚽2
Joao Correia	⚽1
David Luiz	⚽1
Wilmer Odefalk	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
corner_over65	0%	0%
corner_over75	0%	0%
corner_over85	0%	0%
corner_over95	0%	0%
corner_over105	0%	0%
corner_over115	0%	0%
corner_over125	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
corner_parou25	0%	0%
corner_parou35	0%	0%
corner_parou45	0%	0%
corner_parou55	0%	0%
corner_parou65	0%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	80%
1.5	20%	50%
2.5	20%	30%
3.5	10%	10%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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