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Al Nassr FC - Gamba Osaka: our prediction

16/05/2026•19:45

Al Nassr FC

0:1

(0:1)

Finished

Gamba Osaka

Al Nassr FC vs Gamba Osaka Preview — AFC Champions League Two Final Stage

Al Nassr FC, heavy favorite, faces Gamba Osaka in the AFC Champions League Two. The Saudis are in excellent form with an 80% win rate in their last 10 matches, while the Japanese struggle away from home. Al Nassr's offensive statistics are impressive, led by Cristiano Ronaldo and Joao Felix. Gamba Osaka will need to be solid defensively to hope for a result.

Our Al Nassr FC vs Gamba Osaka predictions

Al Nassr FC Victory

Al Nassr FC is in excellent form with 8 wins in their last 10 matches. At home, the team is very strong. The odds (1.41) reflect this dominance. Gamba Osaka, away from home, has a very poor record with only 1 win in their last 10 away matches. Al Nassr's offensive power, led by Cristiano Ronaldo and Joao Felix, should make the difference.

1.37

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Al Nassr FC scores over 1.5 goals

Al Nassr FC has scored over 1.5 goals in 70% of its last 10 matches. With world-class attackers like Cristiano Ronaldo and Joao Felix, the team is capable of exceeding this total against a Gamba Osaka defense that has conceded goals in 80% of its matches. Al Nassr's offensive power at home is a major asset.

1.42

Confidence

High (65 %)

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Statistics show that 60% of Al Nassr FC's matches and 50% of Gamba Osaka's matches have gone over 2.5 goals. Al Nassr has a very prolific attack (average of 2.5 goals per game) while Gamba Osaka regularly concedes goals away from home. The match promises to be open and should exceed this threshold.

1.54

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Al Nassr FC vs Gamba Osaka

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Al Nassr FC vs Gamba Osaka Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Al Nassr FC	Gamba Osaka
Win	8 1 1	2 3 5
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	90%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	0%
Win by being a favorite	80%	17%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	25%
Win by being an outsider	0%	25%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	50% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	20% 80%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	80% 20%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	50%
2nd half	30%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	60% 40%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	40% 60%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	100%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	70% 30%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	50% 50%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	50% 50%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Cristiano Ronaldo	71% (5/7)	63% (5/8)	Harumi Minamino
Kingsley Coman	67% (4/6)	50% (4/8)	Deniz Hummet
Joao Felix	43% (3/7)	38% (3/8)	Genta Miura
Sadio Mane	33% (2/6)	38% (3/8)	Ryotaro Meshino
Abdullah Al-Hamdan	14% (1/7)	25% (2/8)	Ryoya Yamashita
Inigo Martinez	17% (1/6)	25% (2/8)	Takashi Usami
Mohamed Simakan	17% (1/6)	29% (2/7)	Kanji Okunuki
Abdulelah Al Amri	14% (1/7)	50% (2/4)	Issam Jebali
Angelo Gabriel	33% (1/3)	20% (1/5)	Shuto Abe
		13% (1/8)	Shinya Nakano
		14% (1/7)	Takeru Kishimoto
		17% (1/6)	Takato Yamamoto
		14% (1/7)	Rin Mito

Total goals per player

	1	2
Cristiano Ronaldo	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8	Harumi Minamino
Kingsley Coman	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Deniz Hummet
Joao Felix	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽3	Ryotaro Meshino
Sadio Mane	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Genta Miura
Abdulelah Al Amri	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Issam Jebali
Angelo Gabriel	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Takashi Usami
Inigo Martinez	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Ryoya Yamashita
Abdullah Al-Hamdan	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Kanji Okunuki
Mohamed Simakan	⚽1	⚽1	Rin Mito
		⚽1	Takeru Kishimoto
		⚽1	Shuto Abe
		⚽1	Shinya Nakano
		⚽1	Takato Yamamoto

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	70%
Over corners 7.5	90%	50%
Over corners 8.5	60%	50%
Over corners 9.5	40%	40%
Over corners 10.5	20%	20%
Over corners 11.5	0%	0%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	80%
Over corners 3.5	80%	40%
Over corners 4.5	70%	30%
Over corners 5.5	50%	10%
Over corners 6.5	40%	10%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	70%	50%
1.5	60%	20%
2.5	30%	10%
3.5	10%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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