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Marsaxlokk FC - Naxxar Lions FC: our prediction

02/05/2026•16:00

Marsaxlokk FC

3:2

(2:1)

Finished

Naxxar Lions FC

Marsaxlokk FC vs Naxxar Lions FC Preview — Premier League - Closing - Championship Group

Premier League - Closing - Championship Group match between Marsaxlokk FC and Naxxar Lions FC. Marsaxlokk are favorites with 5 wins in their last 10 games, while Naxxar have only 3. Both teams have a strong tendency to concede goals (80% 'clean sheet no').

Our Marsaxlokk FC vs Naxxar Lions FC predictions

Marsaxlokk FC to win

Marsaxlokk are favorites with 5 wins in their last 10 games, compared to 3 for Naxxar. Furthermore, Marsaxlokk has a good record as a favorite (4 wins in 4 matches where they were favorites). Playing at home, Marsaxlokk has the advantage and should prevail.

1.2

Confidence

High (65 %)

Over 2.5 goals in the match

With a high probability that both teams will score (BTS), the total number of goals should exceed 2.5. Marsaxlokk has exceeded this threshold in 50% of their matches, and Naxxar in 40%. Combined with the defensive weakness on both sides, an open game with several goals is expected.

1.62

Confidence

High (65 %)

Both teams to score

Both teams have shown a strong tendency to concede goals (80% 'clean sheet no' for both). Furthermore, Marsaxlokk has seen both teams score in 70% of their matches, and Naxxar in 60%. Marsaxlokk's offensive statistics (8/10 matches with over 0.5 goals) and Naxxar's defensive weakness make this bet very likely.

2.33

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Marsaxlokk FC vs Naxxar Lions FC

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Marsaxlokk FC vs Naxxar Lions FC Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Marsaxlokk FC	Naxxar Lions FC
Win	5 3 2	3 5 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	100%	33%
Win by being a favorite	100%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	67%	67%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	17%	17%
Win by being an outsider	17%	17%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	60% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	10% 90%
Leading at half-time	40% 60%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	50%	20%
2nd half	30%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2

Total goals per player

	1	2

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%
Over corners 7.5	0%	0%
Over corners 8.5	0%	0%
Over corners 9.5	0%	0%
Over corners 10.5	0%	0%
Over corners 11.5	0%	0%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

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