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Charlotte FC - Charlotte Independence: our prediction

16/04/2026•01:30

Charlotte FC

6:0

(1:0)

Finished

Charlotte Independence

Charlotte FC vs Charlotte Independence Preview — US Open Cup

Charlotte FC, the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.20, faces Charlotte Independence in the US Open Cup. In their last 10 matches, both teams show similar statistics (3 wins each), but Charlotte FC plays at home and has a higher success rate (60%) for the 'Both teams to score' bet.

Our Charlotte FC vs Charlotte Independence predictions

Charlotte FC Win

Charlotte FC is clearly the bookmakers' favorite (odds 1.20). Although both teams have a similar record in the last 10 matches (3 wins each), Charlotte FC plays at home and has shown a better ability not to lose when favored (3 wins in 6 matches in this case). The team has a more prolific attack (top scorers: Toklomati, Goodwin, Biel with 4 goals each in the period).

1.25

Confidence

High

Both teams to score

The statistics of the last 10 matches strongly support this scenario: Charlotte FC has seen both teams score in 6 of its last 10 matches (60%), while Charlotte Independence has done so in 7 of its last 10 matches (70%). Both defenses are leaky (Charlotte FC kept a clean sheet only 2 times, Charlotte Independence only 1 time). Charlotte Independence's attack, although less prolific, has scored in 9 of its last 10 matches.

1.84

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 goals

This bet has occurred in 6 of Charlotte FC's last 10 matches (60%) and in 7 of Charlotte Independence's last 10 matches (70%). The offensive trend of both teams, combined with their sometimes fragile defenses (few clean sheets), suggests a match with goals. The most likely scenario is a Charlotte FC win (2-1 or 3-1), which would validate the Over 2.5.

1.45

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Charlotte FC vs Charlotte Independence

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Charlotte FC vs Charlotte Independence Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Charlotte FC	Charlotte Independence
Win	3 3 4	3 2 5
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	67%	57%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	33%
Win by being a favorite	50%	43%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	33%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	10% 90%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	70% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	40%
2nd half	50%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Idan Toklomati	38% (3/8)
Pep Biel	38% (3/8)
David Schnegg	25% (2/8)
Kerwin Vargas	25% (2/8)
Morrison Agyemang	25% (2/8)
Archie Goodwin	13% (1/8)
Wilfried Zaha	14% (1/7)
Henry Kessler	33% (1/3)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Pep Biel	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Souaibou Marou
Idan Toklomati	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Luis Alvarez
Kerwin Vargas	⚽⚽2
David Schnegg	⚽⚽2
Morrison Agyemang	⚽⚽2
Baye Coulibaly	⚽1
Archie Goodwin	⚽1
Nimfasha Berchimas	⚽1
Henry Kessler	⚽1
Wilfried Zaha	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	0%
Over corners 7.5	70%	0%
Over corners 8.5	50%	0%
Over corners 9.5	40%	0%
Over corners 10.5	30%	0%
Over corners 11.5	30%	0%
Over corners 12.5	30%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	60%	0%
Over corners 3.5	50%	0%
Over corners 4.5	40%	0%
Over corners 5.5	30%	0%
Over corners 6.5	20%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	60%	0%
1.5	50%	0%
2.5	30%	0%
3.5	20%	0%
4.5	10%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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