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San Jose Earthquakes - Phoenix Rising FC: our prediction

16/04/2026•04:00

San Jose Earthquakes

2:0

(2:0)

Finished

Phoenix Rising FC

San Jose Earthquakes vs Phoenix Rising FC Preview — US Open Cup

San Jose Earthquakes, favored by bookmakers with odds at 1.36, faces Phoenix Rising FC in the US Open Cup. San Jose shows excellent form with 8 wins in their last 10 matches, while Phoenix has won only 3 of their last 10. Historical statistics and recent form clearly lean in favor of the home team.

Our San Jose Earthquakes vs Phoenix Rising FC predictions

San Jose Earthquakes Win

San Jose Earthquakes shows exceptional form with 8 wins in their last 10 matches (80% success rate). The team is also very strong as a favorite, with 5 wins in 6 matches in this situation. Phoenix Rising FC shows only modest form (3 wins/10 matches). San Jose plays at home and historical statistics confirm their superiority. No information on major absences was found for either team.

1.4

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 Goals in the Match

Analysis of the last 10 matches shows that San Jose played under 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 10 matches, while Phoenix did so in 6 of their last 10 matches. With an ineffective Phoenix attack and a solid San Jose defense (6 clean sheets/10 matches), a low-scoring match is plausible. The most likely scenario is a San Jose win 2-0 or 1-0, which corresponds to under 2.5 total goals.

2.45

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on San Jose Earthquakes vs Phoenix Rising FC

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

San Jose Earthquakes vs Phoenix Rising FC Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	San Jose Earthquakes	Phoenix Rising FC
Win	8 2	3 5 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	83%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	75%	33%
Win by being a favorite	83%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	75%	67%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	75%	17%
Win by being an outsider	75%	17%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	60% 40%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	50% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	50%	10%
2nd half	30%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Preston Judd	75% (6/8)
Timo Werner	100% (3/3)
Ousseni Bouda	25% (2/8)
Beau Leroux	25% (2/8)
Jack Skahan	13% (1/8)
Daniel Munie	13% (1/8)
Niko Tsakiris	25% (1/4)
Reid Roberts	13% (1/8)
Jack Jasinski	13% (1/8)
Nick Fernandez	13% (1/8)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Preston Judd	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽8	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Ihsan Sacko
Timo Werner	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽2	Gunnar Studenhofft
Ousseni Bouda	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Diego Gomez
Beau Leroux	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	John Scearce
Nick Fernandez	⚽1	⚽1	Adrian Pelayo
Daniel Munie	⚽1	⚽1	Juan Carvajal
Niko Tsakiris	⚽1	⚽1	Charlie Dennis
Reid Roberts	⚽1
Jack Jasinski	⚽1
Jack Skahan	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	0%
Over corners 7.5	90%	0%
Over corners 8.5	80%	0%
Over corners 9.5	80%	0%
Over corners 10.5	80%	0%
Over corners 11.5	70%	0%
Over corners 12.5	30%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	0%
Over corners 3.5	80%	0%
Over corners 4.5	70%	0%
Over corners 5.5	60%	0%
Over corners 6.5	60%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	70%	0%
1.5	40%	0%
2.5	20%	0%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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