Lugano - Young Boys: our prediction
03/05/2026•16:30
Lugano
1:0
(0:0)
Finished
Young Boys
-
1
-
X
-
2
Lugano vs Young Boys Preview — Super League Championship Group
Lugano, the favorite, faces Young Boys, the underdog, in a Super League match. Lugano has a 50% win rate in their last 10 games, while Young Boys has a low away win rate (20%). Both teams score in 60% of Lugano's matches and 80% of Young Boys'. Young Boys tends to see over 2.5 goals (70%).
Our Lugano vs Young Boys predictions
Both teams to score
Lugano has seen both teams score in 60% of their last 10 matches, and Young Boys in 80%. Both teams have shown recent defensive frailties, with Lugano keeping a clean sheet only 3 times in 10 and Young Boys only 2 times. Young Boys' attack, led by Alvyn Sanches (5 goals), is capable of scoring, while Lugano, with Renato Steffen (4 goals), will likely respond at home.
1.44
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals
Young Boys has seen over 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 10 matches, demonstrating a trend for high-scoring games. Lugano has a more moderate trend (40%), but against a Young Boys defense that has conceded in 80% of their matches, the total goals should exceed 2.5. Both teams have in-form attackers (Steffen for Lugano, Sanches for Young Boys).
1.46
Confidence
High
Lugano to win
Lugano is the favorite (odds at 2.25) and plays at home, where they have a 50% win rate in their last 10 matches. Young Boys has a very low away win rate (20% wins in their last 10 matches as an underdog). Although Young Boys can score, Lugano's overall form and home advantage should tip the scales in their favor.
2
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Lugano vs Young Boys
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Lugano vs Young Boys Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 2 3 | 4 3 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 57% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 33% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 57% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 75% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 33% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider | 33% | 50% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 80% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 0% |
2nd half | 50% | 60% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Steffen | 50% (4/8) | 40% (4/10) | Alvyn Sanches |
| Georgios Koutsias | 22% (2/9) | 33% (2/6) | Christian Fassnacht |
| Kevin Behrens | 17% (1/6) | 20% (2/10) | Chris Bedia |
| Anto Grgic | 13% (1/8) | 20% (2/10) | Samuel Essende |
| Hadj Mahmoud | 11% (1/9) | 20% (2/10) | Dominik Pech |
| Ezgjan Alioski | 14% (1/7) | 22% (2/9) | Ebrima Colley |
| Daniel Dos Santos | 25% (1/4) | 20% (2/10) | Alan Virginius |
| Antonios Papadopoulos | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Darian Males |
13% (1/8) | Edimilson Fernandes |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Steffen | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Alvyn Sanches |
| Kevin Behrens | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Samuel Essende |
| Georgios Koutsias | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Christian Fassnacht |
| Daniel Dos Santos | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Dominik Pech |
| Antonios Papadopoulos | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Chris Bedia |
| Ezgjan Alioski | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Alan Virginius |
| Anto Grgic | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Ebrima Colley |
| Hadj Mahmoud | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Darian Males |
⚽1 | Edimilson Fernandes |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 80% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 70% | 100% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 30% | 70% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 70% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 60% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 100% |
1.5 | 70% | 70% |
2.5 | 40% | 40% |
3.5 | 20% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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