Lugano - St. Gallen: our prediction
10/05/2026•14:00
Lugano
1:2
(0:0)
Finished
St. Gallen
-
1
-
X
-
2
Lugano vs St. Gallen Preview — Super League Championship Group
Lugano hosts St. Gallen in the Super League Championship Group. Lugano is the favorite with odds of 2.1. Statistics show Lugano has a 50% win rate in their last 10 matches, while St. Gallen also has a 50% win rate. Both teams tend to score, with a 'Both Teams to Score' (BTS) at 50% for Lugano and 70% for St. Gallen. St. Gallen's offensive performance is notable, with a high goal average.
Our Lugano vs St. Gallen predictions
Both teams to score
Performance analysis shows that St. Gallen has a 'Both Teams to Score' rate of 70% in their last 10 matches, indicating a strong tendency to score and concede. Lugano is at 50%, which is also significant. Both teams have competent attacks, with key players like Renato Steffen (4 goals) for Lugano and Lukas Goertler (5 goals) for St. Gallen. The probability of both teams scoring is therefore high, supported by offensive and defensive statistics.
1.48
Confidence
High (65 %)
Over 2.5 goals in the match
St. Gallen has an 'Over 2.5 goals' rate of 70% in their last 10 matches, which is very high. Lugano is at 30%, but combined with St. Gallen's trend, the match has a high probability of exceeding 2.5 goals. Both teams have prolific attacks and defenses that can be breached. BTS being likely also supports the idea of a high-scoring match.
1.56
Confidence
High (65 %)
Lugano victory
Lugano is the favorite with odds of 2.1. Although both teams have a 50% win rate in their last 10 matches, Lugano plays at home, which gives them an advantage. Additionally, Lugano has a 'Does not lose as favorite' rate of 57% (4/7), while St. Gallen has a 'Does not lose as underdog' rate of 100% (4/4). However, the general trend and home advantage favor Lugano. Confidence is medium because St. Gallen is a competitive team.
2.15
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Lugano vs St. Gallen
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Lugano vs St. Gallen Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 2 3 | 5 4 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 57% | 83% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 60% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 57% | 67% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 33% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider | 33% | 25% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 70% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 100% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 30% |
2nd half | 50% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Steffen | 50% (4/8) | 67% (6/9) | Lukas Goertler |
| Georgios Koutsias | 22% (2/9) | 22% (2/9) | Aliou Balde |
| Ezgjan Alioski | 14% (1/7) | 22% (2/9) | Alessandro Vogt |
| Antonios Papadopoulos | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Mihailo Stevanovic |
| Daniel Dos Santos | 25% (1/4) | 10% (1/10) | Corsin Konietzke |
| Kevin Behrens | 17% (1/6) | 14% (1/7) | Tom Gaal |
| Hadj Mahmoud | 11% (1/9) | 11% (1/9) | Carlo Boukhalfa |
| Anto Grgic | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Chima Okoroji |
11% (1/9) | Nevio Scherrer | ||
25% (1/4) | Christian Witzig |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Steffen | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | Lukas Goertler |
| Kevin Behrens | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Aliou Balde |
| Georgios Koutsias | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Alessandro Vogt |
| Anto Grgic | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Mihailo Stevanovic |
| Hadj Mahmoud | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Nevio Scherrer |
| Daniel Dos Santos | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Corsin Konietzke |
| Antonios Papadopoulos | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Tom Gaal |
| Ezgjan Alioski | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Chima Okoroji |
⚽1 | Carlo Boukhalfa | ||
⚽1 | Christian Witzig |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 100% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 100% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 60% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 50% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 100% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 100% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 80% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 100% |
1.5 | 60% | 80% |
2.5 | 30% | 60% |
3.5 | 10% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
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