Lugano - Basel: our prediction
17/05/2026•16:30
Lugano
4:0
(2:0)
Finished
Basel
-
1
-
X
-
2
Lugano vs Basel Preview — Super League Championship Group
Lugano hosts Basel for a Super League match. Lugano is the favorite with odds of 1.84. Statistics show Lugano won 4 of their last 10 matches, while Basel also won 4. Both teams tend to score, with 'Both Teams to Score' at 60% for Lugano and 50% for Basel.
Our Lugano vs Basel predictions
Lugano to Win
Lugano is the favorite at home with odds of 1.84. Although both teams have 4 wins in 10, Lugano has a better home record and is designated as the favorite by bookmakers. Furthermore, Lugano does not lose when favored in 3 of their last 6 matches in this role. Basel, on the other hand, has lost 5 of their last 10 matches, showing some fragility. A Lugano win is therefore a solid bet.
1.49
Confidence
High (65%)
Over 2.5 Goals
Basel has seen over 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 10 matches, while Lugano is at 40%. Basel's trend of playing high-scoring matches is clear. Combined with the likelihood of both teams scoring, a total of over 2.5 goals is very likely. The odds of 3.5 for this bet are attractive.
1.35
Confidence
High (65%)
Both Teams to Score
Lugano has seen both teams score in 60% of their last 10 matches, and Basel in 50%. Both teams show an offensive trend, with key players like Renato Steffen (3 goals) for Lugano and Benie Traore (3 goals) for Basel. Furthermore, Lugano has kept a clean sheet only 4 times in 10, and Basel only 2 times, reinforcing the likelihood that both teams will score.
1.44
Confidence
High (65%)
Market signals on Lugano vs Basel
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Lugano vs Basel Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 3 3 | 4 1 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 50% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 60% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 20% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 20% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 50% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 10% |
2nd half | 70% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 100% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Steffen | 50% (4/8) | 22% (2/9) | Metinho |
| Georgios Koutsias | 22% (2/9) | 22% (2/9) | Benie Traore |
| Kevin Behrens | 17% (1/6) | 10% (1/10) | Julien Duranville |
| Daniel Dos Santos | 25% (1/4) | 11% (1/9) | Dominik Schmid |
| Antonios Papadopoulos | 13% (1/8) | 14% (1/7) | Xherdan Shaqiri |
| Anto Grgic | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Albian Ajeti |
| Hadj Mahmoud | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Nicolas Vouilloz |
| Ezgjan Alioski | 14% (1/7) | 11% (1/9) | Ibrahim Salah |
11% (1/9) | Koba Koindredi |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Steffen | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Metinho |
| Kevin Behrens | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Benie Traore |
| Georgios Koutsias | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Koba Koindredi |
| Daniel Dos Santos | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Nicolas Vouilloz |
| Antonios Papadopoulos | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Dominik Schmid |
| Ezgjan Alioski | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Xherdan Shaqiri |
| Anto Grgic | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Albian Ajeti |
| Hadj Mahmoud | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ibrahim Salah |
⚽1 | Julien Duranville |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 40% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 20% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 100% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 30% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over corners 6.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 70% |
1.5 | 60% | 50% |
2.5 | 40% | 40% |
3.5 | 10% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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