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Chelsea - Leeds United: our prediction

26/04/2026•16:00

Chelsea

1:0

(1:0)

Finished

Leeds United

Chelsea vs Leeds United Preview — FA Cup

Chelsea, the favorite, faces Leeds United in the FA Cup. Chelsea has poor recent form with 7 losses in their last 10 matches, but remains the favorite. Leeds United shows better form, especially away. Both teams tend to score, but Chelsea struggles to keep a clean sheet.

Our Chelsea vs Leeds United predictions

Chelsea to win

Chelsea is the favorite with odds of 2.05. Although their recent form is poor, they are playing at home and have a quality squad. Leeds United, while in form, remains the underdog. Chelsea has the potential to win this match.

Confidence

High (65%)

Both teams to score

Chelsea has kept a clean sheet only once in their last 10 matches, while Leeds United has scored in 6 of their last 10. Both teams have shown a tendency to concede and score.

1.6

Confidence

High (65%)

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Chelsea has seen under 3.5 goals in 6 of their last 10 matches, and Leeds United in 8 of their last 10. Both teams have inconsistent attacks and defenses that can hold. The match could be tight.

1.42

Confidence

High (65%)

Market signals on Chelsea vs Leeds United

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Chelsea vs Leeds United Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Chelsea	Leeds United
Win	2 1 7	3 5 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	43%	80%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	25%	0%
Win by being a favorite	29%	40%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	80%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	20%
Win by being an outsider	0%	20%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	40% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	20% 80%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	30% 70%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	40%
2nd half	50%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	80% 20%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	30% 70%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Enzo Fernandez	33% (3/9)	50% (5/10)	Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Andrey Santos	20% (2/10)	38% (3/8)	Noah Okafor
Joao Pedro	25% (2/8)	10% (1/10)	Ao Tanaka
Jorrel Hato	10% (1/10)	17% (1/6)	Anton Stach
Estevao	33% (1/3)	10% (1/10)	Brenden Aaronson
Cole Palmer	11% (1/9)	11% (1/9)	Sean Longstaff
Alejandro Garnacho	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	Wilfried Gnonto
Tosin Adarabioyo	13% (1/8)	10% (1/10)	James Justin
		10% (1/10)	Pascal Struijk

Total goals per player

	1	2
Enzo Fernandez	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Andrey Santos	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Noah Okafor
Joao Pedro	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Ao Tanaka
Tosin Adarabioyo	⚽1	⚽1	Wilfried Gnonto
Alejandro Garnacho	⚽1	⚽1	James Justin
Jorrel Hato	⚽1	⚽1	Anton Stach
Estevao	⚽1	⚽1	Brenden Aaronson
Cole Palmer	⚽1	⚽1	Sean Longstaff
		⚽1	Pascal Struijk

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	90%	100%
Over corners 7.5	90%	100%
Over corners 8.5	80%	70%
Over corners 9.5	70%	50%
Over corners 10.5	60%	50%
Over corners 11.5	40%	20%
Over corners 12.5	20%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	100%	80%
Over corners 3.5	90%	70%
Over corners 4.5	70%	60%
Over corners 5.5	60%	30%
Over corners 6.5	60%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	70%	80%
1.5	50%	70%
2.5	20%	30%
3.5	0%	10%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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